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Rupiah Indonesia: Pertumbuhan yang lebih kuat gagal meningkatkan sentimen – MUFG
MUFG melaporkan pertumbuhan PDB Indonesia pada Kuartal III mengalahkan ekspektasi sebesar 5,47% tahun-ke-tahun, didukung oleh ekspor yang lebih kuat dan permintaan dalam negeri yang solid. Konsumsi swasta dan investasi tetap kuat, sehingga mengurangi urgensi bagi Bank Indonesia untuk mendukung aktivitas ekonomi. Namun, masalah kepercayaan investor yang masih ada dan arus portofolio yang lemah berarti Rupiah Indonesia masih dipandang kesulitan mencapai pemulihan yang berkelanjutan.
Pertumbuhan mengejutkan, tetapi prospek valas tetap hati-hati
"Pertumbuhan PDB Indonesia pada Kuartal III mengejutkan ke arah atas, meningkat menjadi 5,47% YoY dari 5,29% pada Kuartal II, mengalahkan konsensus 5,2%."
"Permintaan dalam negeri bertahan lebih baik dari yang diprakirakan, dengan konsumsi swasta sebagian besar tetap sama di 5,04% YoY dan investasi meningkat 6,06% YoY."
"Meskipun pertumbuhan yang lebih kuat mengurangi urgensi bagi BI untuk mendukung aktivitas ekonomi, hal ini tidak banyak mengatasi kekhawatiran terhadap kepercayaan investor yang masih ada."
"Kami tetap berhati-hati terhadap IDR, dengan risiko domestik dan arus portofolio yang lemah kemungkinan akan membatasi pemulihan yang berkelanjutan."
(Artikel ini dibuat dengan bantuan alat Kecerdasan Buatan dan ditinjau oleh editor. Ketahui selengkapnya.)
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