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Pound Inggris: Pemulihan Menargetkan Area Atas 1,36 terhadap Dolar AS – Scotiabank
Ahli strategi Valas Scotiabank mencatat Pound naik sekitar 0,4% dalam perdagangan harian terhadap Dolar AS, dengan revisi PMI Inggris yang hanya berdampak kecil. Fokus pasar beralih ke keputusan Bank of England, di mana kenaikan suku bunga sebesar 25 bp sebagian besar telah diperhitungkan dan pengetatan lebih lanjut diprakirakan. Secara teknis, mereka melihat pengaturan yang konstruktif di atas moving average 200 hari, dengan pemulihan dari level terendah pertengahan Oktober menargetkan area atas 1,36.
Reli Pound didukung oleh penetapan harga BoE
"GBP mengikuti kenaikan EUR terhadap USD, naik sekitar 0,4% dalam perdagangan harian. Data final PMI Jasa dan Gabungan Inggris untuk bulan Oktober direvisi sedikit lebih rendah masing-masing menjadi 52,8 dan 52,9."
"Selain dampak USD dari pemilu paruh waktu, perhatian terhadap GBP akan segera beralih ke keputusan kebijakan BoE besok. Kenaikan sebesar ¼ poin hampir sepenuhnya telah diperhitungkan saat ini, dengan swap mengantisipasi pengetatan lebih lanjut sebesar 75 bp dari BoE setelah besok selama sekitar satu tahun ke depan."
"Penutupan harian di atas MA 200 hari (1,3425) akan konstruktif bagi pound, terlebih jika ditutup di atas 1,3470 (retracement 61,8% dari penurunan GBP pada Agustus/Oktober). Kinerja GBP mendukung tesis kami saat ini bahwa pemulihan kuat GBP dari level terendah pertengahan Oktober (yang dalam prosesnya membentuk pembalikan mingguan utama) menargetkan kembalinya ke area atas 1,36 dalam beberapa minggu mendatang."
(Artikel ini dibuat dengan bantuan alat Kecerdasan Buatan dan ditinjau oleh editor. Ketahui selengkapnya.)
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