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Bank Korea: Alasan untuk Bersabar dalam Kebijakan – Standard Chartered
Chong Hoon Park dari Standard Chartered memprakirakan Bank of Korea akan mempertahankan suku bunga acuannya di 3,00% hingga Oktober dan November, meskipun kombinasi inflasi-pertumbuhan menjadi kurang menguntungkan. Laporan tersebut menyoroti inflasi yang mendasari yang tetap bertahan, pertumbuhan kuat yang dipimpin oleh AI dan semikonduktor, serta kondisi keuangan yang lebih ketat setelah koreksi tajam KOSPI. Para penulis masih memprakirakan dua kenaikan sebesar 25 bps pada tahun 2027, sehingga suku bunga terminal menjadi 3,50%.
BoK diprakirakan mempertahankan suku bunga meskipun ada risiko
"Kami memprakirakan Bank of Korea (BoK) akan mempertahankan suku bunga acuan tidak berubah di 3,00% pada bulan Oktober dan November."
"Kami terus memprakirakan kenaikan sebesar 25 bps pada awal tahun 2027, diikuti kenaikan lainnya pada H1 2027, sehingga suku bunga terminal menjadi 3,50% pada akhir tahun 2027."
"Namun, kami mengakui meningkatnya risiko kenaikan suku bunga pada bulan November."
"Namun, mengingat koreksi tajam pasar ekuitas dan pengetatan kondisi keuangan yang menyertainya, kami mempertahankan skenario dasar kami berupa mempertahankan suku bunga pada bulan November."
"Kami akan mengamati dengan saksama pertemuan bulan Oktober untuk melihat perubahan dalam keseimbangan risiko."
(Artikel ini dibuat dengan bantuan alat Kecerdasan Buatan dan ditinjau oleh editor. Ketahui lebih lanjut.)
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