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Trading strategies

Explore practical techniques to help you plan, analyse and improve your trades.

Our library of trading strategy articles is designed to help you strengthen your market approach. Discover how different strategies can be applied across asset classes, and how to adapt to changing market conditions.

Trading
The Stochastic as an Alternative to RSI (Relative Strength Index) for Trading Decision Making

Ideally, as traders, our aim is often to identify potential entries at the start of a new trend (so “first in the queue”) and exit at the end of that trend. Of course, we often will identify a price move where a trend may already be established and are therefore faced with the decision as to “join in” mid-trend (we hope) with the aim of catching the rest of a trend move. The concern of this approach is of course the fear of potentially entering just prior to that trend changing.

There are “clues” we can use, such as candle body/wick size and volume which may help, but also there is a group of indicators termed ‘oscillators’ which work on the idea that there are points in a price move which the underlying asset (be it a Forex pair or CFD) may be overbought (and hence a long trade could be deemed riskier), and oversold (where a short trade may be termed riskier). Although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) which we covered previous in an article (review "Adding the RSI to your entry or exit trading plan? "), is possibly a more commonly used oscillator for determining oversold and overbought situations, the stochastic although possibly seen as being slightly more complex, does appear to be frequently used by more experienced traders. This article aims to shed some light on how this indicator is used and what it may be showing you relative to price movement.

What is the stochastic trying to tell us? As with the RSI the Stochastic is an oscillator (whose value can theoretically lie between 0-100) which has identified key levels which may indicate whether a particular asset is overbought or oversold. A move into either of these two “zones” may suggest a trend change is more likely to be imminent.

The key levels are below 20 (oversold) and above 80 (overbought). See below a 30-minute chart for GBP/USD with the stochastic added using the default system settings (we have added horizontal lines from the drawing tools to make the key levels clearer. We will discuss settings later and the additional line but at a simple level, taking the blue line on the stochastic if it moves below 20, then you would be cautious and perhaps avoid entering a short trade (examples A and B), and perhaps avoid entering a long trade if it moves above 80 (see example C).

And the other dotted line? There are two lines that form the stochastic namely: %K (usually a solid line) – In this case blue as previously referenced above. %D (usually a dotted line) and is a moving average of %K (often set as an exponential) Slowing periods may also be set (default is 3). As a rule, the slower (bigger number the less “noisy” i.e. you will see less overbought and oversold conditions).

And how can it be used? a. As an additional entry criteria “tick” As referenced earlier, for entry, traders may use this as an additional tick (when other indicators may suggest entry) to make sure they do not enter a long trade on an overbought currency pair/CFD, or short trade on an oversold currency pair/CFD. b. As a warning to prepare for exit action in an open trade Though less commonly discussed, it would appear logical that if in a long trade for example and the Stochastic moves into an over-bought position this could be a warning to consider exit (more commonly used as a signal to tighten a trailing stop loss) c.

As a primary reversal signal Additionally, some traders may look to buy when moving out of an oversold situation when the EMA dotted line crosses the solid blue line. (and of course, the reverse when overbought). It would be rare to use this in isolation with no other indicators, using increasing volume, and candle change recognition would often be used also. The relatively fast default settings (5,3,3) may merit some review anyway but particularly in this case.

Which settings? As with any indicator you are in control of the settings and what you use for you is of course your choice. With the chart below, we have used the default 5,3,3 and added a 21,7, 7 to illustrate the difference of a less noisy set of perimeters.

In Summary Ultimately, and to finish, it is of course your choice as to which criteria you use for entry and exit. Remember, whatever these are for you, the key lessons of: a. specifically identifying how you are to use the criteria within your plan, b. the importance of forward-testing (as well as back-testing) of any system change, c. and of course, the discipline of following through are ALL critical whether you use the Stochastic, RSI or neither.

Mike Smith
September 25, 2024
Trading
Advantages and disadvantages of using an Expert Advisor (EAs)

What is an Expert Advisor (EA)? Expert Advisors (EAs) are trading software that automatically run and trade based on their preprogrammed rules for initiating, managing, and exiting trades in the market. These automated trading systems are very popular among traders and are widely used on the Metatrader 4 and 5 platforms.

For most traders, EAs are primarily used for Forex, although they can be used on any market that’s available on the platform. These can be purchased prebuilt online from a developer or created to automate an existing strategy being used. There are many reasons why traders use them, and I will explain some of the main advantages and disadvantages.

Advantages of using an EA: Discipline - these programs are set to certain parameters and will manage your positions based on the programmed strategy. Using a set of yes/no triggers it will make trading decisions and act on them instantly without changing their decisions like humans would do. It will also manage risk based on your risk settings, so you do not overexpose your account.

Timesaving – there is only so much time a trader can look at the charts for trading opportunities before getting tired while the markets are open. An EA can monitor the charts 24 hours per day and open and close positions or even provide alerts which can save time. Emotionless – this plays a huge role in the decision making for traders.

When trading with real money traders tend to make emotional decisions and break their strategy from fear or greed. An EA removes this element and will stick to the original plan although manually intervention can still be done. Backtesting – you can backtest an EA to see whether the strategy has been profitable in the past on multiple markets.

Although these can give you confidence to use them, it’s important to keep in mind that past performance is not an indicator for future performance. Disadvantages of using an EA Technical failures – for an expert advisor to work, your platform needs to be open and running at all times which means if you experience technical issues such as a crash, software update, power outages, connection problems then this will effect the EA. Additional cost of VPS – this is a dedicated private server which allows you to remove some of the technical challenges when using an expert advisor.

There are benefits of lower latency and faster execution and also the peace of the mind that the EA is running on a private server which can be accessed from any location. It typically costs around A$30 per month to have this access. World events – an EA is programmed to trade based on technical parameters, which means should there be an unexpected world event or news announcement, this would have an impact on your trades as the the market moves in response to them.

Doesn’t teach how to trade – these are coded to trade certain parameters therefore unless you understand how to code, you can only watch. Although there are many EAs which make money for people who can’t trade, if they are unprofitable then it’s back to the drawing board; that could mean finding another EA or learning to trade. Here are example how an Expert Advisor looks running on MT4 platform: If you are interested to use an Expert Advisor and seeing how these can perform and the results, you can find them on MQL5.com.

This is the largest community for developers and signal providers to showcase their systems. You will find some for free and some that will need a monthly subscriptions to have access to them. You can run expert advisors on a GO Markets trading account.

If you need any help setting them up please contact our support team.

GO Markets
August 30, 2024
Trading
How to trade the Volatility Contraction Pattern

The Volatility Contraction Pattern, (VCP) is a famous trading pattern identified and dissected by Market Wizard, Mark Minervini. The premise of the pattern is that stocks in long term up trends will pause and consolidate as some holders exit their positions and the stock is accumulated again by buyers in the market. The chart pattern can provide opportunities for powerful break outs and can be used across any time frame.

This allows traders to jump in on potential moves before they explode. Mechanics of the pattern The background of the pattern is relatively simple. The stock has been previously rising in an uptrend and has found some resistance.

It then moves into a period of consolidation categorised by 2-6 retracements with each one being smaller than the previous one. The volume should usually be decreasing as the chart moves to the right. The pattern culminates in a powerful break out that can often be long lasting.

The key for this pattern is that there needs to be a contraction of volatility as the chart moves from the left to the right. This highlights that the volume available is decreasing and becoming scarce. In addition, the more dramatic in volume, the more likely that the move will be explosive.

Below the breakout is accompanied by an increase in the relative volume. In the chart below for Natural Gas, the decrease in volume can be associated with the contracting candlestick pattern. This occurs prior to the break of the long-term resistance.

The breakthrough was also associated with a large amount of buying volume. The VCP can manifest itself in other patterns such as a cup and handle patterns. The key is that the candlesticks must be decreasing volatility.

GO Markets
August 29, 2024
Trading
How to identify key resistance levels

A resistance level is a key tool in technical analysis, indicating when an asset has reached a price level that market participants are unwilling to surpass. Resistance levels are often used in conjunction with support levels, or the point at which traders are unwilling to let an asset's price drop much lower. To understand this fully, it’s important to understand how support and resistance works in general.

A support line is when a price hits a low point (on the selling side) and resistance is when the price hits a high (on the buying side). If the prices rebound back to this price or continue to hit this price without surpassing it, it then starts to become a key resistance or support level. As a rule of thumb when using technical analysis, these tools become very important for some traders.

This is due to those points offering various outcomes. Whether they are a Bounce or a Break, essentially meaning, does the price hit the support/resistance and comes back (Bounce) or does it go through the support/resistance lines (Breaks). It is important to also use other indicators to accompany your technical analysis, as these movements could also easily become reversals or break outs, meaning, instead of them following your prognosis the price does the opposite.

When a price has been rejected various times, it builds an even stronger key resistance. Trading volume and sentiment can help to propel a price past this point and some of the biggest movements come after a price breaks a key resistance. Using a current trend (Fig 1) and a hypothetical trend (Fig 2), let’s take the daily timeframe for BTCUSD as an example (below).

The daily candle has broken through a key resistance of $41,000 as shown on figure 1. If a trader identifies this, they can do one of two things; trade it aggressively and place a trade as it breaks through or trade it conservatively and wait for the former resistance line to become the new support line before placing a trade (so wait for the price to bounce off as outlined on the drawn projection and circled on figure 2). Figure 1.

Figure 2. This technical analysis can be used for any asset you wish to trade: it’s transferrable and key in identifying entry or exit points of trades. By learning to spot the patterns and combining this with knowledge of trading volume and sentiment, you can start to understand the markets better.

Sources: Babypips, Investopedia, @sell9000 Twitter.

GO Markets
August 29, 2024
Trading
Connecting to public Wi-Fi and hotspots

Public Wi-Fi hotspots are found everywhere in places like your local shops, cafes, hotels, and even at some parks. They can be a convenient way to access the internet when you are out, have poor reception, or are travelling overseas. Learn more about public Wi-Fi and using it securely.

Like many things online, there are risks involved when using public Wi-Fi hotspots. They can be accessed by anyone, and are often free and unsecured. These hotspots can be an attractive target for cybercriminals, who may try to use them to steal your passwords or sensitive information.

Case Study A NSW man recently became aware that he was a victim of identity theft. He was told he owed over $7000 in fees to a company, for the purchase of gift cards and digital subscriptions that were sent to unknown email addresses. On investigation, he found there were multiple inquiries on his credit report around the same time.

The first credit inquiry happened not long after travelling overseas, where he had used his laptop. While connected to a public Wi-Fi hotspot during his trip at the airport, he had sent ID documents to his parents, including his passport and birth certificate. It turns out he had connected to a fake Wi-Fi hotspot which was set up by a cybercriminal.

The cybercriminal was able to intercept his ID documents, and use them to steal the man’s identity. It is important to be aware of the risks, and to develop secure habits when making use of these hotspots. Follow these tips the next time you are thinking about connecting to a public Wi-Fi hotspot: 1.

Check you are connecting to the right hotspot Anyone can create a free Wi-Fi hotspot, including cybercriminals. Wi-Fi and hotspot names are not unique, and they can be reused by anyone. A cybercriminal may try to take advantage of this by copying and posing as a legitimate hotspot.

Ensure you are connecting to the hotspot you intend. You can do this by: Checking the hotspot’s name on signage, or directly with staff at the venue. Preventing your device from automatically connecting to the hotspot.

Disable features such as “auto-join” or “auto connect” for public hotspots. Where possible, choose hotspots that require a password. Try to avoid “open” or “unsecure” networks.

As an extra precaution, ‘forget’ the network in your Wi-Fi settings after you have finished using it. This will prevent your device automatically reconnecting in the future. If in doubt, do not connect to the hotspot.

Instead, wait until you can use a trusted network such as your home, office or mobile connection. 2. Check you are visiting secure webpages When a webpage is secure, the information that you send to it is encrypted and cannot be intercepted and read by cybercriminals. You can check that a webpage is secure by: Looking for ‘https’ and the lock symbol in the address bar on your web browser.

Ensure that the webpage is what you expect. If your browser displays a warning message when you try to visit a website, do not continue. Stop using the hotspot, disconnect, and ‘forget’ it on your device. 3.

Disable file sharing Some devices may allow your files to be shared over Wi-Fi, which can be useful when you are at home or work. When connecting to public Wi-Fi, ensure you switch off file sharing. This will prevent a cybercriminal from potentially accessing your files, or putting malicious files on your device.

These features can vary depending on your device. To learn more about the different types of sharing options on your device, see Microsoft’s guidance for Windows and Apple’s guidance for Mac. When joining a new Wi-Fi hotspot, you may be asked to select if a network is public or private, ensure you select public.

This will also automatically disable file sharing. 4. Think twice about what you access Public Wi-Fi hotspots cannot always be trusted. Reconsider your need to access sensitive information, such as your online banking.

If possible, wait until you are using a secure home, office or mobile connection. 5. Use a VPN A virtual private network (VPN) is a service that encrypts and secures your data when using the internet. It acts as an extra layer of protection when using public Wi-Fi hotspots.

If you use public Wi-Fi hotspots frequently, install and use a reputable VPN service on your device. When considering which VPN service to use, research each product and its company. VPN providers have access to a large amount of their user’s data, so it is important to know about their privacy policy, how they store information, and if they share it.

Look at independent reviews online to make an informed, secure decision. Source: Australian Signals Directorate. Original article available here.

GO Markets
May 27, 2024
Trading
How to Access GO Markets Complimentary VPS

If you're an existing GO Markets client, simply get in touch with a member of our Support Team and we'll help you get set up. How it works: GO Markets offers complimentary monthly VPS subscription to clients who have completed a minimum trade volume of US $1 Mil per calendar month (approximately 5 round turn FX lots). A service fee starting from US$10 (or Account Currency Equivalent) per month will be charged to your trading account if the monthly trade volume is not met.

If you do not meet the above criteria, you can still subscribe. However, a monthly fee of US$30 (or Account Currency Equivalent) will be charged to your trading account. Your VPS subscription will be terminated when you close your Trading Account with GO Markets or the Equity Balance of your Trading Account falls below A$30 (or Account Currency Equivalent.) You can also terminate your VPS subscription at any given time by contacting our Support Team.

Terms and Conditions: Trading Volumes are calculated for a calendar month, from the Sydney open on the first trading day of the month, to the New York close on the last trading day of the month. Qualifying trades include any FX, Metals, Indices and Commodities volume. The VPS is provided by a specialised third-party, and as such, GO Markets does not guarantee the uptime or performance of the VPS service.

GO Markets accepts no liability for any adverse effects to our Trading Account following the withdrawal of the monthly fee, if required. Offers cannot be used in conjunction with any other promotional offer. All GO Markets offers are only available in accordance with applicable law.

GO Markets offers are not designed to alter or modify an individual’s risk preference or encourage individuals to trade in a manner inconsistent with their own trading strategies. Traders should ensure that they operate their trading account in a manner consistent with their trading comfort level. It is at GO Markets sole discretion to cease any of our promotional offers at any point in time.

It is at GO Markets sole discretion to exclude you from the complimentary VPS subscription if we believe you have instigated any fraudulent activities or your actions are to be found in violation of our terms and conditions or the terms and conditions of the specific offer. GO Markets reserves the right to decline any application or indication to participate in any promotion at its sole discretion, without the need to provide any justification or explain the reasons for such a decline. VPS is available for both MT4 and MT5 MetaTrader software.

GO Markets
December 13, 2023