ข่าวสารตลาด & มุมมองเชิงลึก

Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) announced its Q2 financial results after the closing bell in the US on Thursday. The American automaker reported revenue of $364 million vs. estimate of $335.378 million. The company reported a loss per share of -$1.62 per share vs. -$1.63 per share expected. ''The second quarter of 2022 represented important progress as we delivered against key operational and commercial milestones.

We continued to ramp production on our R1 and RCV platform lines, producing 4,401 total vehicles during the quarter compared to 2,553 in the first quarter of 2022. We also rolled out EDV 700s with Amazon in more than a dozen cities in the United States, started production validation builds for the EDV 500, launched our fast charging Rivian Adventure Network, and initiated our new consumer vehicle reservation system. We remain focused on fully ramping our 150,000 installed annual units of capacity in Normal, Illinois to meet the strong demand for our products.

Our net consumer pre-order backlog as of June 30, 2022 was approximately 98,000 and momentum continues to increase,'' the company said in a letter to shareholders. ''In the second quarter of 2022, we produced 4,401 vehicles. Our equipment, people, systems, and supply chain continue to show progress as we work towards our 2022 production guidance of 25,000 units. Supply chain continues to be the limiting factor of our production; however, through close partnership with our suppliers we are making progress.

We expect to be able to add a second shift for vehicle assembly towards the end of the third quarter.'' Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) chart Shares of Rivian were up by 4.14% at the close of trading on Thursday at $38.89 a share. Here is how the stock has performed year-to-date: 1 month +26.34% 3 months +60.29% Year-to-date -62.44% Rivian price targets HSBC $28 Mizuho $48 Citigroup $41 Morgan Stanley $31 B of A Securities $26 UBS $32 Barclays $34 Rivian is the 518 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $34.01 billion. You can trade Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and the ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD.

Sources: Rivian Automotive Inc., TradingView, MetaTrader 5, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) reported the latest financial results for its third fiscal quarter after the closing bell on Wednesday. World’s largest entertainment company reported revenue of $21.504 billion for the quarter (up 26% year-over-year), topping Wall Street forecast of $20.994 billion. Earnings per share reported at $1.09 per share (up 35% year-over-year) vs. $0.97 per share estimate. ''We had an excellent quarter, with our world-class creative and business teams powering outstanding performance at our domestic theme parks, big increases in live-sports viewership, and significant subscriber growth at our streaming services.

With 14.4 million Disney+ subscribers added in the fiscal third quarter, we now have 221 million total subscriptions across our streaming offerings,'' said Bob Chapek, CEO of Walt Disney in a press release. ''We continue to transform entertainment as we near our second century, with compelling new storytelling across our many platforms and unique immersive physical experiences that exceed guest expectations, all of which are reflected in our strong operating results this quarter,'' Chapek concluded. The Walt Disney Company (DIS) chart Shares of Disney were up by 3.98% at the close on Wednesday at $112.42 a share. The stock price rose by around 6% in the after-hours trading following the latest results announcement.

Here is how the stock has performed in the past year: 1 Month +20.97% 3 Month +86% Year-to-date -27.41% 1 Year -36.87% Walt Disney price targets RBC Capital $150 Truist Securities $125 Goldman Sachs $130 Wells Fargo $130 Keybanc $131 Barclays $120 Citigroup $145 Morgan Stanley $125 Deutsche Bank $130 The Walt Disney Company is the 47 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $204.78 billion. You can trade The Walt Disney Company (DIS) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and the ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD. Sources: The Walt Disney Company, TradingView, MetaTrader 5, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap

In a time when you consumers could potentially be feeling domestic budgets tighten up, by the result of surging high inflation and rise in prices of commodities, you would be forgiven to be receiving the news that some of the biggest oil companies in the world, have acquired record profits with some skepticism, you would even question if these companies are acting in the best interests of its consumers instead of their shareholders? That’s the question that the Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman Frank Pallone, Jr. (D-NJ) made, when he wrote to four major oil companies today demanding answers for how they are using their record high profits, and what – if anything – each company is doing to alleviate peoples’ pain at the pump. The letters come as drivers continue to bear the burden of higher-than-average fuel costs at the same time as the four major oil companies announced quarterly earnings of nearly $50 billion combined.

Exxon alone reported a profit of $17.9 billion – the highest quarterly profit reported by any oil company in history – while Chevron reported $11.6 billion, Shell reported $11.47 billion, and BP reported $8.45 billion ( USD ). The heat seems to be coming from all angles at the minute with various diplomats chipping in, back in June, president Joe Biden singled out Exxon for criticism, saying: Why don’t you tell them what Exxon’s profits were this year? This quarter?

Exxon made more money than God this year. Energy analysts at SP Angel says: The five remaining Majors (Exxon, Chevron, Shell, BP & Total) have announced c.$59bn in 2Q22 profits, up almost 100% y/y, and returned c.45% of this to shareholders during the quarter. Based on their aggregate $1.1 trillion market cap, this quarter would represent an implied annualised profit margin in excess of 20%.

Some however have a more pragmatic approach and advise that the sector has been haemorrhaging money the last few years, a clampdown on pollution, a focus on a greener future and investment in renewable energy have curtailed some of the industries profits. Consider that in the past 10 years, major oil and gas companies suffered tremendous losses in 2014, 2015, and 2020. In fact, in 2020 the five integrated supermajors (i.e., “Big Oil”) – ExxonMobil, BP, Shell, Chevron, and Total – lost $76 billion.

Oil prices plunged into negative territory in 2020. Were the oil companies feeling especially generous then? ExxonMobil for example doesn’t set oil prices.

They are set in the market by how much people are willing to pay, just like with Apple stock. U.S. oil companies are price takers, not price makers. Yes, speculators have an influence, just as they do with Apple stock.

Even OPEC and Russia don’t control oil prices, although they do have tremendous influence relative to ExxonMobil. If ExxonMobil decided to produce less oil to drive the price up, it just hurts ExxonMobil because OPEC and Russia can easily make that up. But if OPEC and Russia decide to produce less oil, there isn’t much the rest of the world can do to make that up.

This is a particularly unique asset class and one which investors could access in different ways, you could trade the spot price of US and UK oil also known as WTI and BRENT oil respectfully, you could directly buy or sell shares in these companies or invest in ETFs which have exposure to energy companies. If you would want to be a position to take advantage of these companies’ profits and the price action movement which follows it? Visit us here at GO Markets where you have a choice between trading the spot price as an CFD or acquiring shares through our share portfolio service.

Sources: Forbes, The Guardian, mirror.co.uk, https://energycommerce.house.gov/

Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) reported its latest financial results before the market open in the US on Monday. One of the world’s largest gold producers reported revenue of $2.874 billion vs. $1.178 billion expected. The Canadian company reported earnings per share of $0.24 per share for Q2, also beating analyst estimate of $0.23 per share. ''A stronger Q2 performance across the portfolio has kept Barrick on course to achieve its annual gold and copper production guidance while continuing to progress its key growth projects.'' ''Gold production for the quarter was higher than Q1 at 1.04 million ounces — driven mainly by Carlin and Turquoise Ridge in Nevada, Veladero in Argentina, and Bulyanhulu and North Mara in Tanzania — and is expected to grow further in the second half of the year.

Copper production came to 120 million pounds.'' ''A dividend of $0.20 per share was declared for the quarter on the back of the strong operating performance and net cash of $636 million. During the quarter, Barrick repurchased $182 million in shares under the $1 billion share buyback scheme introduced earlier this year,'' the company wrote in a press release. Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) chart The stock price rose on Monday, up by around 5% at $16.27 per share.

Here is how the stock has performed in the past year: 1 month -4.18% 3 months -24.29% Year-to-date -14.37% 1 year -20.87% Barrick Gold price targets Barclays $25 Jefferies $24 UBS $34 Deutsche Bank $35 Credit Suisse $22 Barrick Gold Corporation is the 608 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $29.08 billion. You can trade Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and the ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD. Sources: Barrick Gold Corporation, TradingView, MarketWatch, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap

Moderna Inc. (MRNA) reported its Q2 financial results before the opening bell on Wall Street on Wednesday. The American biotechnology company posted results that beat expectations, sending the stock higher at the open. The company reported revenue of $4.749 billion for the quarter vs. $4.097 billion expected.

Earnings per share reported at $5.24 per share vs. $4.58 per share estimate. "Today's earnings represent a strong second quarter performance, with $10.8 billion in revenue for the first half of the year. We continue to have advance purchase agreements for expected delivery in 2022 of around $21 billion of sales. Given our strong financial position and commercial momentum, we are announcing today that the Board of Directors has approved a new share repurchase program for $3 billion," Stéphane Bancel, CEO of the company said in a press release. "Despite the slowing economy and challenges in the biotech industry, Moderna is in a unique position: a platform to drive scale and speed in research of new medicines, a strong balance sheet with $18 billion of cash and an agile, mission-driven team of over 3,400 people and growing.

We will continue to invest and grow as we have never been as optimistic about Moderna's future. Right now, we have four infectious disease vaccines in Phase 3 trials, and later this year, we expect important data from proof-of-concept studies in rare diseases and immuno-oncology. Our teams are actively working to prepare these new product launches to help patients and drive growth.

This is an exciting time for Moderna as we continue to see significant scientific and business momentum," Bancel concluded. Moderna Inc. (MRNA) chart The stock was up by around 14% on Wednesday at $187.11 a share. Here is how the stock has performed in the past year: 1 Month +16.71% 3 Month +20.11% Year-to-date -26.68% 1 Year -55.56% Moderna price targets SVB Leerink $77 Piper Sandler $214 Morgan Stanley $199 Deutsche Bank $155 UBS $221 B of A Securities $180 Moderna is the 180 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $74.57 billion.

You can trade Moderna Inc. (MRNA) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and the ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD. Sources: Moderna Inc., TradingView, MetaTrader 5, Benzinga, CompaniesMarketCap

Todays RBA policy meeting is expected by most analysts to result in a 50bp hike as the bank tries to play catch up and get on top of elevated inflation figures. The slightly lower Q2 CPI figures released last week has seen futures markets price out what was earlier feared could be a 75bp supersized move, a 50bp hike would see the bank able to respond further in September should the Wage price index data due on 17 August show an alarming increase in wage costs. A 50bp hike today will bring the cash rate up to 1.85% which means we would be looking at least a further 65bp of hikes coming to bring the cash rate to the neutral level of 2.5% indicated by RBA governor Lowe at the last RBA policy meeting.

Currently August rate futures are trading at an implied yield of 1.76%, pricing in a rise of 41bp which indicates traders are giving around an 80% chance of a 50bp hike. Bond traders are rarely wrong when this much is priced in so I expect a 50bp move today with the accompanying statement giving clues to Septembers meeting where it’s looking so far as a toss up between 25 or 50bp. Expected AUD reaction If a 50bp hike is announced, the most likely course in the short term for the AUD will be an initial spike up due to the markets only pricing in 80%, then volatility as the algos read the statement, and more volatility as humans get through it.

Followed by a sustained move in either direction depending on how markets re-price after digesting what the RBA has released. Keep an eye on our Twitter page for instant reaction to the RBA announcement Also please join us on our live webinar of the RBA meeting and market reaction, register at the link below RBA Live Webinar