UK Trade vs The World With the UK leaving the European Union next year, its trading arrangements with the bloc will change. How they will change will be determined over the coming months when both parties start the second phase of the negotiations. This will shine a light on what the agreement will look like and how it will impact the world’s fifth largest economy post Brexit.
Since the Brexit referendum in June 2016, the UK has indicated that it wants to strengthen its ties with India, China, Australia and New Zealand. But how does UK trade look against the rest of the world? Positive Trade The UK has a trade surplus with 67 territories around the world, including its closest neighbour Ireland, as well as Switzerland, Australia and the United Arab Emirates.
The UK’s biggest trading partner by far is the United States to whom they exported nearly £100 billion worth of goods and services in 2016. The United States imported just over £66 billion worth of goods and services in 2016 making a trade surplus of just over £33 billion. Source: Office for National Statistics Negative Trade The UK has a trade deficit with the biggest economies of the European Union; including Germany, Spain, the Netherlands and Belgium.
UK’s biggest trade deficit is with Germany – Europe’s largest economy. In 2016, the UK imported £75 billion worth of goods and services from Germany, while exporting just over £49 billion - a trade deficit of around £25 billion. However, being a member of the European trading bloc allows the UK to trade with no restrictions with the 27 other members.
The EU accounted for 48% of goods and services exports from the UK in 2016. While goods and services imports from the EU were worth more than the total from the rest of the world. Source: Google Maps / Office for National Statistics Source: Office for National Statistics
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支撐英特爾未來繼續狂飆的牛市邏輯非常直觀:**全球 AI 算力需求依舊極其瘋狂**,台積電的產能死鎖在短期內根本無法解開,這倒逼跨國科技巨頭必須不計代價尋求具備實質技術公信力的第二代工防線。如果英特爾能成功將目前的秘密測試與意向訂單逐步轉化為實質性的商業產出,全球長線資金將繼續為其晶圓代工戰略瘋狂計價。
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綜上所述,主導接下來外匯與股票交叉盤生死的黃金變數包括:輝達會否發出實質生產訂單、18A 工藝的最新良率進展、英特爾代工業務的虧損限度、台積電先進封裝擴產速度,以及北美雲端巨頭們的 AI 資本開支是否依舊強悍。