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加拿大：能源驱动的韧性，核心传导有限 – RBC
加拿大皇家银行（RBC）策略师 Claire Fan 和 Abbey Xu 预计，加拿大 9 月份整体消费者物价指数将同比维持在 3%，受更高的汽油和取暖油价格支撑。他们认为食品通胀将放缓，核心 CPI 将回落至 1.8%，而扩散指数显示，尽管存在工业品价格扩散的风险，通胀压力仍相对有限。
整体通胀持稳，核心通胀料放缓
"我们预计，加拿大 9 月份整体消费者物价指数将连续第三个月同比维持在 3%。"
"剔除食品和能源后，9 月份核心通胀预计将从 8 月份的 2.1% 小幅回落至 1.8%。"
"我们继续预计，除机票外，能源通胀向核心组成部分的传导有限，但会密切关注运输类项目，因为这些项目面临的风险最大。"
"我们的 CPI 扩散指数——衡量通胀压力广度的指标——迄今尚未显示出令人担忧的范围扩大。"
"不过，工业生产价格的同类扩散指数已经显示出令人担忧的扩散，但距离价格上涨沿着生产层层传导并最终体现在商店货架上的消费者价格，还有很长的路要走。"
（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，并经编辑审核。了解更多。）
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