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欧元/日元价格预测:跌破九日EMA后交投于176.50附近

- 欧元/日元可能在175.07的一年低点找到初步支撑。
- 14日相对强弱指数位于45.73,表明看涨动能疲弱。
- 近期阻力位在9日指数移动均线176.91。
欧元/日元周五亚洲时段连续第二个交易日走低,交投于176.80附近。日线图技术分析显示,该货币对仍处于下降通道形态内,表明当前整体偏向看跌。
欧元/日元短期维持看跌基调,因为其仍低于9日和50日指数移动均线(EMA)。短期和中期EMA位于价格上方,表明反弹目前仍受限制,而14日相对强弱指数(RSI)位于45.73,仍低于中性50线,暗示看涨动能疲弱,而非明显超卖状态。
欧元/日元可能跌向10月30日触及的175.07这一一年低点初步支撑,随后是其下降通道下轨附近的174.00。若跌破该通道,将为该货币对进一步下探15个月低点169.72附近区域打开空间。
上行方面,欧元/日元可能反弹并测试9日指数移动均线176.91这一近期阻力位,随后是接近50日指数移动均线178.59的下降通道上轨。若成功突破这一中期价格均线,将引发看涨反转,支撑欧元/日元上探4月17日触及的187.95历史高点附近区域。

尽管利率信号失真,日元仍受结构性资金外流拖累
三菱日联金融集团/三菱东京日联银行(MUFG/BTMU)分析师指出,近期官方行动使日元与利差之间的通常关系变得复杂,去年7月/8月初的“干预”已经“扭曲了与利率的联系”。不过,他们强调,货币走势传递出的潜在信息很明确:“日元走势表明,仍有一些结构性资金流持续拖累日元表现,而这些资金流很可能会缓慢变化。”这表明,尽管利率动态正在演变,持续的投资组合和外国直接投资(FDI)外流仍是拖累日元(JPY)的关键因素,而且不太可能迅速逆转。
(本故事的技术分析由人工智能工具协助撰写。了解更多。)
下表显示了 欧元 (EUR) 对所列主要货币 今日的变动百分比。 欧元 对 日元 最弱。
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.18% | 0.12% | -0.02% | 0.20% | 0.54% | 0.58% | -0.01% | |
| EUR | -0.18% | -0.07% | -0.21% | 0.03% | 0.36% | 0.40% | -0.20% | |
| GBP | -0.12% | 0.07% | -0.13% | 0.10% | 0.43% | 0.47% | -0.13% | |
| JPY | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.13% | 0.23% | 0.57% | 0.60% | 0.00% | |
| CAD | -0.20% | -0.03% | -0.10% | -0.23% | 0.33% | 0.37% | -0.22% | |
| AUD | -0.54% | -0.36% | -0.43% | -0.57% | -0.33% | 0.04% | -0.56% | |
| NZD | -0.58% | -0.40% | -0.47% | -0.60% | -0.37% | -0.04% | -0.58% | |
| CHF | 0.01% | 0.20% | 0.13% | -0.01% | 0.22% | 0.56% | 0.58% |
热图显示了主要货币相对于其他货币的百分比变化。基础货币从左列中选取,而报价货币从顶部行中选取。例如,如果您从左列选择 欧元 并沿着水平线移动到 美元 ,则框中显示的百分比变化将表示 EUR (基数)/ USD (报价)。
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