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澳元在中国CPI数据公布后守住涨幅
- 澳元/美元保持强势，因中国 10 月 CPI 年率上涨 0.7%，低于预期的 0.8%。
- 尽管市场高度预期美国联邦储备委员会将加息 25 个基点，美元仍然下跌。
- 美国稳健的就业数据和即将公布的通胀报告可能会支撑美元。
周一亚洲时段，澳元/美元在连续两日下跌后反弹，交投于 0.6890 附近。由于澳大利亚的密切贸易伙伴中国公布消费者物价指数（CPI）数据后，澳元（AUD）保持强势，该货币对走高。
中国 10 月 CPI 年率上涨 0.7%，此前 9 月为上涨 0.9%。市场普遍预期该数据为上涨 0.8%。中国 10 月 CPI 月率为 0%，前值为上涨 0.2%，符合预期。中国 10 月生产者价格指数（PPI）年率上涨 5.7%，高于 9 月的 5.0%。该数据强于市场预期的 5.3%。
此外，尽管 CME FedWatch 工具显示，12 月 8-9 日联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议上再次加息 25 个基点的概率已升至接近 80%，美元（USD）仍在下跌，澳元/美元因此走高。
与此同时，强劲的美国就业数据可能会提振美元，并对该货币对构成压力。美国 10 月非农就业人数（NFP）增加 16.5 万人，超过市场预期的 6.5 万人，也高于 9 月的 6 万人；失业率则小幅降至 4.1%，低于预期的 4.2%。交易员将密切关注周二公布的美国消费者物价指数（CPI）报告以及周五公布的生产者价格指数（PPI），以获取有关美联储即将作出政策决定的进一步信号。
荷兰合作银行（ABN Amro）分析师表示，近期金融市场压力加剧引发了典型的避险行为，投资者“寻求美国国债的安全性，并在金融市场压力下重新评估是否需要进一步收紧政策。”这种对美联储政策路径的重新评估与更广泛的市场叙事一致，即加息预期正在减弱；如果美债收益率继续下行，这也强化了美元可能难以从风险规避情绪中获得进一步支撑的看法。
经济指标
中国消费者物价指数年率
中国国家统计局每月发布的消费者物价指数（CPI），衡量居民购买的消费品和服务价格水平的变动。CPI是衡量通胀和购买趋势变化的关键指标。同比读数将参考月份的价格与前一年同月的价格进行比较。一般来说，高读数被视为对人民币（CNY）利好，而低读数被视为利空。
阅读更多上次发布时间: 周一 11月 09, 2026 01:30
频率: 每月
实际值: 0.7%
预期值: 0.8%
前值: 0.9%
来源: National Bureau of Statistics of China
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