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BOE的格林表示,主动收紧我们的货币政策立场是适当的

英国央行(BoE)货币政策委员会(MPC)委员梅根-格林(Megan Greene)周三表示,为防范工资增长停留在较高水平以及企业将这些成本转嫁出去的风险,采取“主动收紧我们的货币政策立场”是合适的。
关键引述
主动收紧我们的货币政策立场,以抑制工资增长停留在较高水平的风险,是合适的。
数据显示,英国工资增长过高。
劳动力市场的闲置程度比此前认为的要少。
主动收紧货币政策是合适的。
市场反应
截至发稿时,英镑/美元下跌 0.51%,报 1.3275 附近。
格林指出,随着英国工资风险上升,主动收紧政策
英国央行的格林传递出明显更偏鹰派的信息,FXS Speechtracker 评分为 9.4/10,而历史平均值为 7.7/10,表明政策正明显转向更紧缩。她强调英国工资增长“过高”以及劳动力市场闲置“少于预期”,凸显出对通胀压力可能变得根深蒂固的担忧。
呼吁“主动收紧”货币政策立场,以防工资增长停留在高位,强化了预防性的鹰派偏向。对于英镑而言,这提高了利率“更长期维持更高水平”或进一步加息的可能性,因市场预期英国央行将更积极地对抗持续的国内通胀风险,从而为该货币提供支撑。
英国央行常见问题(FAQ)
英格兰银行(BoE)决定英国的货币政策。它的主要目标是实现“价格稳定”,即2%的稳定通胀率。实现这一目标的工具是通过调整基本贷款利率。英国央行设定其贷款给商业银行和银行之间相互拆借的利率,从而决定整个经济的利率水平。这也影响了英镑(GBP)的价值。
当通货膨胀高于英格兰银行的目标时,它会通过提高利率来应对,这使得个人和企业获得信贷的成本更高。这对英镑有利,因为更高的利率使英国成为对全球投资者更具吸引力的投资场所。当通胀低于目标时,这是经济增长放缓的迹象,英国央行将考虑降低利率以降低信贷成本,希望企业将贷款用于投资于促进增长的项目——这对英镑不利。
在极端情况下,英国央行可以实施一项名为量化宽松(QE)的政策。量化宽松是英国央行在陷入困境的金融体系中大幅增加信贷流动的过程。当降低利率无法达到必要效果时,量化宽松是最后的手段。量化宽松的过程包括,英国央行印制钞票,从银行和其它金融机构购买资产——通常是政府债券或aaa级公司债券。量化宽松通常会导致英镑贬值。
量化紧缩(QT)是量化宽松的反面,在经济走强、通胀开始上升时实施。在量化宽松中,英格兰银行(BoE)从金融机构购买政府和公司债券,以鼓励它们放贷;在QT中,英国央行停止购买更多债券,并停止将已持有债券到期的本金进行再投资。这通常对英镑有利。
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