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澳元收复失地，因民主党有望在两院均获胜
- 澳元兑美元反弹至接近 0.6977，因市场情绪改善。
- 民主党赢得参议院多数席位，并在众议院领先。
- 周二，澳储行将利率上调 25 个基点至 4.85%。
周三，澳元（AUD）兑美元（USD）获得买盘，此前两个交易日曾遭遇大幅抛售。随着投资者风险偏好改善，澳元/美元升至接近 0.6977。
在欧洲早盘，标普 500 指数期货呈现 V 形反弹，收复了早盘一半跌幅，但仍下跌 0.6%，接近 7,530。这似乎表明投资者风险偏好回升。
鉴于澳元对市场情绪高度敏感，风险状况改善提振了这一南半球货币的吸引力。
尽管民主党已在参议院赢得多数席位，并且预计也将在众议院获胜，但标普 500 指数期货仍强劲反弹。根据 BBC News 的报道，民主党在众议院计票中以 201 席领先。要获得多数席位，他们需要拿下 218 席。
与此同时，美元也收复了早盘大部分跌幅。截至发稿时，衡量美元兑六种主要货币表现的美元指数（DXY）下跌 0.4%，至接近 101.48，但已从当日低点 101.25 大幅反弹。
标普 500 指数期货和美元出现强劲反弹的迹象，表明市场可能出现了“卖预期，买事实”的现象。
国内方面，澳大利亚储备银行（RBA）周二如预期将官方现金利率（OCR）上调 25 个基点（bps）至 4.85%，并表示再次加息的门槛非常高。
澳元/美元技术分析
日线图上，澳元/美元报 0.6982，维持短期看跌倾向，因为其仍位于 0.7005 的 20 期指数移动均线（EMA）下方。该货币对未能重新站上这条短期 EMA，暗示上方压力持续存在，而相对强弱指标（RSI）在 45 附近，表明动能处于盘整而非超卖状态；若卖方继续占据主导，仍有进一步下行空间。
上行方面，初步阻力位于 0.7005 附近的 20 期 EMA，这是任何反弹尝试的首个障碍。若要缓解当前看跌基调，需要持续突破该水平，才能为更具建设性的上行打开空间；若无法突破，则反弹在未来几个交易日仍易遭遇新的卖盘兴趣。
(本报道的技术分析由 AI 工具协助撰写。 了解更多。)
经济指标
澳大利亚储备银行公布利率决议
澳洲储备银行（RBA）在每年八次定期会议结束时宣布其利率决定。如果RBA对经济的通胀前景持鹰派态度并提高利率，通常对澳元（AUD）是利好的。同样地，如果RBA对澳大利亚经济持鸽派观点并保持利率不变或降低利率，则被视为对澳元不利。
阅读更多上次发布时间: 周二 11月 03, 2026 03:30
频率: 不定期
实际值: 4.85%
预期值: 4.85%
前值: 4.6%
来源: Reserve Bank of Australia
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