The information provided is of general nature only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on any information provided, you should consider whether the information is suitable for you and your personal circumstances and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. All opinions, conclusions, forecasts or recommendations are reasonably held at the time of compilation but are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. Go Markets Pty Ltd, ABN 85 081 864 039, AFSL 254963 is a CFD issuer, and trading carries significant risks and is not suitable for everyone. You do not own or have any interest in the rights to the underlying assets. You should consider the appropriateness by reviewing our TMD, FSG, PDS and other CFD legal documents to ensure you understand the risks before you invest in CFDs. These documents are available here.
Any references to Australian or international shares, sectors, indices, ETFs, crypto-related stocks or other instruments are provided for market commentary and watchlist purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any financial product or adopt any investment strategy. International markets may involve additional risks, including currency fluctuations, regulatory differences, market structure differences, reduced liquidity and higher volatility. Company-specific, sector-specific and macroeconomic risks may also affect performance.
Commentary on geopolitical developments, economic data, central bank decisions, earnings, policy changes and other global or financial market events is based on information available at the time of publication and may change without notice. Such events can lead to sudden market moves, price gaps, reduced liquidity, wider spreads and increased volatility, particularly in leveraged products such as CFDs. Forward-looking statements, expectations and scenario analysis are inherently uncertain and should not be relied on as guarantees of future market behaviour or outcomes.
香港：增长前景改善 – 大华银行
大华银行经济学家何慧珍（Ho Woei Chen）报告称，香港国内生产总值（GDP）增长在 3Q26 大幅加速，受商品出口和投资强劲推动。Chen 指出，半导体和人工智能供应链提供了支撑，房地产市场趋于稳定，游客到访人数上升。大华银行上调了对香港 2026 年和 2027 年 GDP 的预测，同时提示外部和金融风险。
更强劲的 GDP 和上调后的预测
"香港 GDP 增长从 2Q26 修正后的 4.2% 加速至 3Q26 的 5.2%（彭博预估：3.7%，大华银行预估：3.0%）。按季节性调整后的季率计算，GDP 飙升 1.9%，较 2Q26 的 0.7% 萎缩大幅反弹。"
"3Q26 的表现优于预期，主要受商品出口（同比+30.4%）和固定资本形成总额（同比+7.3%）推动。私人消费增长（同比+2.8%）保持稳定，政府消费（同比+1.7%）有所改善。"
"半导体贸易以及香港在更广泛全球人工智能供应链中的角色，继续支撑该市的经济增长。在国内方面，由于中东局势不确定性、利率上升以及内地对资本外流的审查趋严，消费者信心有所走弱。尽管如此，趋于稳定的房地产市场和改善的游客到访人数提供了缓冲。"
"这继续支持零售销售的复苏。尽管增速放缓，零售销售额在 9 月仍连续第 17 个月实现增长。"
"考虑到 3Q26 强劲的增长反弹，我们将 2026 年 GDP 增长预测上调至 5.0%（此前为 3.9%），并将 2027 年预测上调至 3.0%（此前为 2.4%）。2026 年的增长将是自 2021 年疫情后反弹至 6.5% 以来最强劲的一年。"
（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，并经编辑审核。了解更多。）
Related Articles
瑞士央行（SNB）主席马丁-施莱格尔周三表示，随着 10 月份数据超出预期，通胀压力有所上升。施莱格尔补充说，如果物价稳定受到威胁，央行将毫不犹豫地调整政策。
黄金价格（XAU/USD）在周四亚洲早盘时段升至接近 4065 美元，动能增强。该贵金属上涨超过 3.60%，为 8 月中旬以来的最大涨幅，此前民主党横扫美国中期选举。