The information provided is of general nature only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on any information provided, you should consider whether the information is suitable for you and your personal circumstances and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. All opinions, conclusions, forecasts or recommendations are reasonably held at the time of compilation but are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. Go Markets Pty Ltd, ABN 85 081 864 039, AFSL 254963 is a CFD issuer, and trading carries significant risks and is not suitable for everyone. You do not own or have any interest in the rights to the underlying assets. You should consider the appropriateness by reviewing our TMD, FSG, PDS and other CFD legal documents to ensure you understand the risks before you invest in CFDs. These documents are available here.
Any references to Australian or international shares, sectors, indices, ETFs, crypto-related stocks or other instruments are provided for market commentary and watchlist purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any financial product or adopt any investment strategy. International markets may involve additional risks, including currency fluctuations, regulatory differences, market structure differences, reduced liquidity and higher volatility. Company-specific, sector-specific and macroeconomic risks may also affect performance.
Commentary on geopolitical developments, economic data, central bank decisions, earnings, policy changes and other global or financial market events is based on information available at the time of publication and may change without notice. Such events can lead to sudden market moves, price gaps, reduced liquidity, wider spreads and increased volatility, particularly in leveraged products such as CFDs. Forward-looking statements, expectations and scenario analysis are inherently uncertain and should not be relied on as guarantees of future market behaviour or outcomes.
瑞郎走弱，因美联储偏鹰派前景提振美元/瑞郎
- 美元/瑞郎在有报道称 10 月美国非农就业人数增加 16.5 万人，显著超出预期后上涨。
- CME 美联储观察工具显示，美联储加息 25 个基点的概率超过 78%。
- 由于民主党获胜引发了对科技监管和美国财政僵局的担忧，瑞郎可能走强。
周一亚洲时段，美元/瑞郎连续第三个交易日延续涨势，交投于 0.8210 附近。不过，由于原油价格下跌，美元可能面临挑战，从而限制该货币对的上行空间。油价走低有助于缓解通胀压力。美国总统特朗普表示，若伊朗核计划继续取得进展且霍尔木兹海峡保持开放，进一步对伊朗采取军事行动“极不可能”后，能源市场回落。特朗普还承认，这场不受欢迎的中东冲突此前曾推高能源成本，并在共和党近期中期选举失利中发挥了关键作用。
在强劲劳动力市场数据和货币紧缩预期升温的推动下，美元（USD）有望重新站稳脚跟。根据 CME FedWatch 工具，美联储联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12 月会议上加息 25 个基点的概率已飙升至 78%以上。
偏鹰派的美联储情绪受到强劲美国就业数据的有力支撑。10 月非农就业人数（NFP）增加 16.5 万人，显著高于 6.5 万人的市场预期，并延续了 9 月修正后的 6 万人数据；失业率则降至 4.1%，好于 4.2%的预期。投资者和市场参与者目前正将焦点转向周二的消费者物价指数（CPI）报告以及周五的生产者物价指数（PPI）公布，以获取有关美联储即将出台政策路径的明确线索。
由于民主党横扫选举后，市场对人工智能建设加强监管的预期升温，避险需求增加，瑞郎（CHF）可能获得支撑，从而令美元/瑞郎承压。该结果还可能导致政治僵局，并提高美国财政收紧的可能性。
美元/瑞郎下行风险仍存，UOB 指出仍有反弹空间
大华银行集团（UOB Group）策略师维持对美元/瑞郎中期谨慎立场，并重申其“昨日（11 月 05 日，现货价 0.8165）的更新仍然有效”。他们继续认为该货币对仍有进一步走弱的空间，并指出“美元有机会测试 0.8110，然后反弹风险才会增加”。在上行方面，大华银行强调，“若突破 0.8205（‘强阻力’不变），则意味着一周前开始的美元跌势已经走完”，并将该水平视为表明近期下行趋势结束的关键门槛。
下表显示了 瑞郎 (CHF) 对所列主要货币 今日的变动百分比。 瑞郎 对 纽元 最弱。
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.16% | -0.21% | -0.17% | -0.16% | -0.37% | -0.89% | -0.03% | |
| EUR | 0.16% | -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.21% | -0.73% | 0.13% | |
| GBP | 0.21% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.04% | -0.16% | -0.68% | 0.18% | |
| JPY | 0.17% | 0.00% | -0.06% | -0.00% | -0.20% | -0.73% | 0.14% | |
| CAD | 0.16% | 0.00% | -0.04% | 0.00% | -0.20% | -0.72% | 0.14% | |
| AUD | 0.37% | 0.21% | 0.16% | 0.20% | 0.20% | -0.52% | 0.34% | |
| NZD | 0.89% | 0.73% | 0.68% | 0.73% | 0.72% | 0.52% | 0.86% | |
| CHF | 0.03% | -0.13% | -0.18% | -0.14% | -0.14% | -0.34% | -0.86% |
热图显示了主要货币相对于其他货币的百分比变化。基础货币从左列中选取，而报价货币从顶部行中选取。例如，如果您从左列选择 瑞郎 并沿着水平线移动到 美元 ，则框中显示的百分比变化将表示 CHF (基数)/ USD (报价)。
Related Articles
