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英国国债:预算案后相对涨幅——德意志银行

德意志银行研究部在 Shreyas Gopal、Sanjay Raja 和 Maui Brennan 撰写的一份报告中指出,自秋季预算案公布以来,英国 10 年期金边债券收益率已显著下降,受益于油价走低和股市波动率上升。
英国金边债券表现优于全球同类债券
“自秋季预算案以来,10 年期金边债券收益率已下降近 25 个基点。全球因素,例如油价令人欣慰的下跌,无疑在借贷成本下降中发挥了重要作用,此外股市波动率上升也起到了作用。”
“10 年期金边债券收益率比美国和德国同期限收益率低约 12 个基点,部分原因在于此次事件符合我们在预算案公布前设定的三项基准,即财政缓冲空间、短期整顿以及金边债券总发行量。”
“过去两周的相对优异表现更加值得注意,因为这一表现出现在上周英国央行会议前后——该会议的鹰派程度高于预期,当时英国债券收益率比同类债券高出 5 个基点。因此,尽管这还不及去年预算案公布后金边债券的强劲表现那么明显,我们预计财政大臣会对市场对其首份预算案的反应感到满意。”
(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并经编辑审核。 了解更多。)
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