大华银行策略师郭世良和李秀安表示,美元/离岸人民币整体变化不大,但下行动能略有增强。日内来看,他们认为偏向下行,目标指向 6.6950,阻力位在 6.7055 和 6.7100,且明显跌破 6.6950 的可能性不大。未来 1–3 周,他们预计美元/离岸人民币将在 6.6950 至 6.7270 之间交易,而在未来 1–3 个月,只要汇价仍低于 6.7815 附近的云层,他们预计将逐步下行。
美元/人民币偏向下行
"24小时观点:我们昨天表示,美元"可能小幅走高",但我们认为其"可能会维持在 6.7000/6.7100 区间内。"随后,美元一度升至 6.7095,回落至 6.7015,最终基本持平收于 6.7027(+0.02%)。下行动能略有增强,表明偏向下行,目标指向 6.6950。明显跌破该水平的可能性不大。阻力位在 6.7055,其次是 6.7100。"
"1-3周观点:在我们上周二(9月29日,现汇价 6.7110)最近一次的表述中,我们指出,"目前,我们预计美元将在 6.6950 至 6.7270 之间交易。"我们目前仍维持这一观点。"
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