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英镑因美元在选举结果公布后下跌而反弹至9月16日高点
- 周三，英镑/美元在美元全面抛售之际获得强劲正向动能。
- 伊朗外交前景的希望以及美国债券收益率下滑，拖累美元跌至一个月低点。
- 英国央行加息押注支撑英镑，并推动强劲的正向动能。
周三亚洲时段，英镑/美元货币对吸引了激进买盘，突破1.3400中段，并在过去一小时内触及9月16日以来的新高，原因是美元（USD）整体走弱。
事实上，追踪美元兑一篮子货币表现的美元指数（DXY）跌至一个多月低点，因为美国中期选举早期计票结果显示民主党获胜的可能性上升。这加剧了华盛顿陷入僵局的前景，推动避险资金流向美国国债，并拖累债券收益率走低。除此之外，伊朗外交前景的希望也成为削弱避险美元需求的另一因素，进而为英镑/美元货币对提供了强劲支撑。
美国总统唐纳德-特朗普周二在接受《金融时报》采访时表示，美国目前没有立即打击伊朗的计划，这提振了通过外交途径解决美伊战争的乐观情绪，并促使交易员将地缘政治风险溢价计入价格。另一方面，英镑（GBP）在近期英国预算更新后财政担忧缓解，以及市场越来越押注英国央行（BoE）将在周四的政策会议上加息的背景下，继续表现相对强势。
与此同时，美国劳工部公布的月度职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（JOLTS）显示，招聘总体保持相对稳定，9月份职位空缺从720万升至750万，高于预期。这是在能源价格居高不下带来的通胀风险之上，进一步支撑了美联储（Fed）继续收紧政策的前景。然而，这并未给美元多头带来任何喘息空间，表明英镑/美元货币对阻力最小的路径仍然是上行。
展望后市，交易员目前关注美国ADP私营部门就业报告和ISM服务业PMI，以寻找北美时段晚些时候的短线推动力。然而，焦点将放在周四的英国央行政策更新以及周五备受关注的美国月度就业数据，即非农就业报告（NFP）。尽管如此，支撑性的基本面背景表明，英镑/美元货币对任何修正性回调都更可能吸引买盘。
英镑/美元日线图
技术分析
英镑/美元货币对在盘中突破200日简单移动平均线（SMA）1.3424后，维持短期看涨倾向。此外，现货价格略高于61.8%斐波那契回撤位1.3467，表明买家在收复近期下行走势中段后，正在守住这一枢轴区域。
进一步上行方面，阻力位位于78.6%斐波那契回撤位1.3556，近期周期高点1.3670之前。下行方面，直接支撑位于200日SMA1.3424和50.0%回撤位1.3404附近，而更深层支撑位于38.2%水平1.3341和23.6%回撤位1.3264，结构性底部1.3138附近之前。
（本报道的技术分析由AI工具协助撰写。 了解更多。）
下表显示了 美元 (USD) 对所列主要货币 今日的变动百分比。[货币名称]对[货币名称]最强。
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.43% | -0.37% | -0.68% | -0.30% | -0.12% | 0.11% | -0.71% | |
| EUR | 0.43% | 0.06% | -0.25% | 0.11% | 0.29% | 0.52% | -0.29% | |
| GBP | 0.37% | -0.06% | -0.30% | 0.08% | 0.25% | 0.47% | -0.35% | |
| JPY | 0.68% | 0.25% | 0.30% | 0.39% | 0.57% | 0.78% | -0.04% | |
| CAD | 0.30% | -0.11% | -0.08% | -0.39% | 0.17% | 0.39% | -0.43% | |
| AUD | 0.12% | -0.29% | -0.25% | -0.57% | -0.17% | 0.22% | -0.60% | |
| NZD | -0.11% | -0.52% | -0.47% | -0.78% | -0.39% | -0.22% | -0.81% | |
| CHF | 0.71% | 0.29% | 0.35% | 0.04% | 0.43% | 0.60% | 0.81% |
热图显示了主要货币相对于其他货币的百分比变化。基础货币从左列中选取，而报价货币从顶部行中选取。例如，如果您从左列选择 美元 并沿着水平线移动到 日元 ，则框中显示的百分比变化将表示 USD (基数)/ JPY (报价)。
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