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欧元/日元价格预测：测试177.50关口，接近九日EMA
- 欧元/日元可能跌向176.20附近的下降通道下轨。
- 14日相对强弱指数位于35.8，表明下行动能持续但正在放缓。
- 主要阻力位在九日指数移动均线177.76。
欧元/日元周五亚洲时段连续第二个交易日走高，交投于177.40附近。日线图技术分析显示，该货币对正沿下降通道形态下行，表明看跌偏向持续存在。
欧元/日元短期内仍维持看跌偏向，因为其仍低于九日和50周期指数移动均线（EMA）。短期EMA位于长期EMA下方，且价格仍低于两者，表明近期反弹受到上方卖压限制，而14日相对强弱指数（RSI）在35.8附近，仍略高于超卖区域，暗示下行压力持续但正在放缓，而非即将出现看涨反转。
欧元/日元可能首先在176.20附近的下降通道下轨获得支撑，随后是2025年11月录得的175.70的11个月低点。若进一步跌破这一汇合支撑区域，将下探169.72的14个月低点。
上行方面，欧元/日元可能测试177.76的九日EMA这一主要阻力位，随后是180.77的50日EMA。若突破这些移动均线，将支撑欧元/日元逼近184.00附近的下降通道上轨，随后是4月17日创下的187.95的历史高点。
Moulin指出能源驱动的通胀，但淡化二轮效应风险
欧洲央行的Moulin给出的影响评分为6.2/10，处于中等水平，与FXS Speechtracker上的历史平均值完全一致，表明市场对其政策立场的感知没有出现重大变化。其强调通胀“100%由能源驱动”且不存在二轮效应，略偏鸽派，暗示尽管承认通胀冲击，但对激进紧缩的紧迫性有限。
不过，他警告地缘政治冲击正在传导为金融冲击，这一表述带来了谨慎基调，削弱了鸽派解读。Moulin强调欧元区增长具有韧性，支持欧洲央行有能力保持耐心的观点，强化了平衡的偏向，短期内不太可能对欧元预期进行实质性重定价。
(本篇故事的技术分析由AI工具协助撰写。 了解更多。)
下表显示了 欧元 (EUR) 对所列主要货币 今日的变动百分比。[货币名称]对[货币名称]最强。
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.14% | -0.09% | 0.09% | -0.09% | -0.27% | -0.30% | -0.22% | |
| EUR | 0.14% | 0.06% | 0.23% | 0.06% | -0.12% | -0.13% | -0.09% | |
| GBP | 0.09% | -0.06% | 0.21% | 0.04% | -0.15% | -0.19% | -0.09% | |
| JPY | -0.09% | -0.23% | -0.21% | -0.18% | -0.37% | -0.38% | -0.29% | |
| CAD | 0.09% | -0.06% | -0.04% | 0.18% | -0.21% | -0.21% | -0.11% | |
| AUD | 0.27% | 0.12% | 0.15% | 0.37% | 0.21% | -0.01% | 0.10% | |
| NZD | 0.30% | 0.13% | 0.19% | 0.38% | 0.21% | 0.01% | 0.10% | |
| CHF | 0.22% | 0.09% | 0.09% | 0.29% | 0.11% | -0.10% | -0.10% |
热图显示了主要货币相对于其他货币的百分比变化。基础货币从左列中选取，而报价货币从顶部行中选取。例如，如果您从左列选择 欧元 并沿着水平线移动到 美元 ，则框中显示的百分比变化将表示 EUR (基数)/ USD (报价)。
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