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欧元/日元价格预测:从下降通道顶部回落后交投于177.50下方

- 欧元/日元可能测试 9 日指数移动均线 176.78 处的主要支撑位。
- 14 日相对强弱指数为 49.37,显示动能中性。
- 主要阻力位位于下降通道上轨附近的 178.00。
周三亚洲时段,欧元/日元在连续两日上涨后回落,交投于 177.40 附近。日线图技术分析显示,该货币交叉盘仍处于下降通道形态内,表明当前整体偏向看跌。
欧元/日元交叉盘目前维持在短期和中期指数移动均线(EMA)之间,使得短线基调保持中性但略受压制。9 周期 EMA 位于价格下方不远处,构成即时支撑,而 50 周期 EMA 则作为上方首个显著阻力。14 日相对强弱指数(RSI)位于 49.37,接近中线,暗示在近期自 175 中段反弹后,动能处于均衡状态。
欧元/日元交叉盘的初步支撑可能位于 9 日指数移动均线 176.78 处的即时支撑,随后是 10 月 30 日触及的 12 个月低点 175.07。进一步支撑位于其下降通道下轨附近的 174.30。若跌破该通道,将为该货币交叉盘下探 15 个月低点 169.72 附近区域打开空间。
上行方面,欧元/日元交叉盘可能测试下降通道上轨附近的初步阻力 178.00,随后是 50 日指数移动均线 178.70。若成功突破这一中期价格均线,将引发看涨反转,支持欧元/日元交叉盘上探 4 月 17 日触及的历史高点 187.95 附近区域。

随着日本释放准备干预的信号,日元政策警惕性上升
荷兰商业银行(Commerzbank)分析师指出,日本的政策警惕性正在上升,并提到财务大臣 Satsuki Katayama 已“释放出如果汇率波动变得无序,将准备干预外汇市场的信号”。这一立场凸显了当局对日元可能出现过度波动的敏感性,并强化了政策制定者在市场动态转向不稳定时准备采取行动的看法。
随着日本释放准备遏制投机性波动的信号,日元趋于稳定
荷兰商业银行(Commerzbank)分析师指出,日本财务大臣 Satsuki Katayama 对近期日元走势采取了明显强硬的措辞,警告称“如果出现无序波动或过度投机性波动,我们将采取行动。”该行表示,这一明确的干预威胁凸显了官方对外汇波动的高度敏感,并强化了当局在日元价格走势变得不稳定时准备作出回应的看法。
(本故事的技术分析由 AI 工具协助撰写。了解更多。)
下表显示了 欧元 (EUR) 对所列主要货币 今日的变动百分比。 欧元 对 日元 最弱。
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.32% | -0.26% | -0.49% | -0.24% | -0.17% | 0.26% | -0.47% | |
| EUR | 0.32% | 0.06% | -0.16% | 0.06% | 0.14% | 0.57% | -0.15% | |
| GBP | 0.26% | -0.06% | -0.23% | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.51% | -0.21% | |
| JPY | 0.49% | 0.16% | 0.23% | 0.24% | 0.31% | 0.72% | 0.00% | |
| CAD | 0.24% | -0.06% | -0.02% | -0.24% | 0.07% | 0.49% | -0.23% | |
| AUD | 0.17% | -0.14% | -0.10% | -0.31% | -0.07% | 0.41% | -0.30% | |
| NZD | -0.26% | -0.57% | -0.51% | -0.72% | -0.49% | -0.41% | -0.71% | |
| CHF | 0.47% | 0.15% | 0.21% | -0.01% | 0.23% | 0.30% | 0.71% |
热图显示了主要货币相对于其他货币的百分比变化。基础货币从左列中选取,而报价货币从顶部行中选取。例如,如果您从左列选择 欧元 并沿着水平线移动到 美元 ,则框中显示的百分比变化将表示 EUR (基数)/ USD (报价)。
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