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Mexican Peso rebounds, but carry trade exodus still bites
The Mexican Peso recovers some ground versus the US Dollar, gaining 0.50%, but it remains poised to end the week with a 3% loss as investors exit the “carry trade” amid a narrowing of the interest rate differential between the US and Mexico to its lowest level since 2015.
Christian Borjon Valencia
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October 2, 2026
Gold fails at $4,200 despite NFP miss as US yields climb
Gold prices dropped on Friday, with the yellow metal struggling to decisively break the $4,200 milestone. The precious metal is down nearly 1% as US Treasury yields edge higher following a less-than-stellar US employment report.
Christian Borjon Valencia
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October 2, 2026
Fed’s Goolsbee says inflation now outweighs labor concerns
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, in an interview with Fox Business, said that the labour market is steady and that “the inflation side of the Fed’s job is more important.”
Christian Borjon Valencia
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October 2, 2026
New Zealand Dollar rebounds after sharp US employment disappointment
NZD/USD advances on Friday and trades around 0.5610 at the time of writing, up 0.12% on the day. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) benefits mainly from the decline in the US Dollar (USD), which comes under pressure following a significantly weaker-than-expected employment report.
Ghiles Guezout
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October 2, 2026
US payrolls miss at 29K and the Dollar Index drops below 102.00
US employers added 29K jobs in September against a forecast of 90K, and July and August were revised down by a combined 60K. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and hourly pay grew 3.0% over the year against a 3.2% forecast.
Joshua Gibson
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October 2, 2026
British Pound rebounds as NFP knocks out October Fed hike bets
The Pound Sterling rises by over 0.41% against the US Dollar on Friday, as the US Unemployment Rate rises following a worse-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls report for September. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3250 after bouncing off daily lows beneath 1.3200.
Christian Borjon Valencia
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October 2, 2026
US Dollar: Fading rallies as Fed pricing peaks – TD Securities
TD Securities' Macro Research’s FX team notes the softer US payrolls data is only marginally negative for the Dollar, with the labor market still described as buoyant and neither overheating nor deteriorating.
FXStreet Insights Team
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October 2, 2026
US Dollar: FOMC minutes to offer limited fresh clues – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts characterize the upcoming September FOMC minutes as largely outdated given subsequent employment and PCE data. The minutes are expected to show disagreement over how much further tightening is needed, but broad consensus that policy should remain more restrictive.
FXStreet Insights Team
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October 2, 2026
Japanese Yen gives back post-NFP gains despite US Dollar weakness
USD/JPY trades around 157.65 on Friday at the time of writing, down 0.28% on the day. The pair briefly dropped to 156.95 following the release of the United States (US) employment report before erasing the entire move and returning to pre-release levels.
Ghiles Guezout
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October 2, 2026