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Negocie durante a temporada de resultados dos EUA

A temporada de resultados do primeiro trimestre de 2026 pode movimentar os mercados rapidamente. Acompanhe os próximos resultados, planeje sua lista de observação e negocie CFDs de ações americanas com ferramentas criadas para traders ativos.

Most watched this season

Apple • Microsoft • Alphabet • Amazon • Nvidia • Meta • Tesla

Negocie durante a temporada de resultados dos EUA com a GO Markets

A temporada de balanços nos EUA traz uma onda de atualizações de resultados das principais empresas listadas na bolsa americana. Resultados, projeções e expectativas do mercado podem mudar rapidamente, gerando volatilidade em ações individuais, setores e índices mais amplos.

Preços competitivos

Fique atento aos custos ao negociar com base em relatórios que se alteram rapidamente.

Ferramentas de análise técnica

Utilize gráficos e indicadores para planejar entradas, saídas e riscos.

Construído para negociação ativa

Negocie com execução rápida e uma plataforma confiável.

Controles de gerenciamento de riscos

Utilize as ferramentas integradas para definir o potencial de queda e proteger posições durante períodos de volatilidade.

Mais tempo para agir

Horários estendidos estão disponíveis em CFDs de ações americanas selecionadas, oferecendo tempo adicional para negociação além das sessões de mercado padrão.*

*A disponibilidade varia conforme o instrumento. As condições de negociação podem ser diferentes fora do horário normal de funcionamento do mercado.

Mais assistidos desta temporada

Calendário de resultados dos EUA

Os horários exibidos estão em Horário Padrão do Leste Australiano (GMT+10). Altere seu fuso horário a qualquer momento nas configurações do Calendário de Resultados.

Notícias e análises

Microsoft, Alphabet e NVIDIA estão no centro da construção da infraestrutura de IA, desde software corporativo e em nuvem até chips personalizados e demanda por data centers. Seus próximos resultados podem ajudar a mostrar se os pesados gastos de capital estão se traduzindo em receita, margens e vantagem competitiva durável.
AI
US Earnings
A Microsoft, a Alphabet e a NVIDIA estão prestes a mostrar se a IA vale o custo?

A temporada de resultados de abril nos EUA está chegando a um mercado que quer mais do que uma boa história. JPMorgan já estabeleceu um alto padrão com um resultado forte, e a atenção agora está se voltando para a sala de máquinas do S&P 500: infraestrutura de IA, na qual três empresas estão no centro dessa história.

Por que essa janela de ganhos é importante para a IA

Microsoft, Alphabet e NVIDIA não são apenas participantes do ciclo de IA, elas estão construindo a arquitetura física e de software da qual outras empresas dependem: os chips, as regiões da nuvem, os modelos e as ferramentas. Se esses gastos gerarem retornos, os primeiros sinais podem começar a aparecer em seus resultados trimestrais nas próximas semanas.

Cada empresa representa um teste diferente.

  1. Microsoft: Se a adoção da IA corporativa está se traduzindo em expansão de receita e margem
  2. Alfabeto: Se possuir a pilha completa, de chips à nuvem e distribuição, é uma vantagem duradoura ou simplesmente uma posição cara a ser defendida
  3. NVIDIA: Se o ciclo de hardware ainda está se mantendo, acelerando ou começando a se estabilizar

Em 2026, a questão não é mais se o investimento em IA está acontecendo, os compromissos de capital são substanciais e já declarados publicamente. A questão é se esses gastos estão gerando retornos com rapidez suficiente para justificar a escala dessas apostas.

IMPORTANT: REPORTING SCHEDULES CAN CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. REPORTING DATES AND RELEASE TIMES ARE FROM COMPANY INVESTOR RELATIONS CALENDARS WHERE MARKED CONFIRMED; OTHERWISE THEY ARE GO MARKETS ESTIMATES. CONSENSUS EPS, REVENUE AND ANALYST-RANGE DATA ARE FROM THIRD-PARTY MARKET CONSENSUS SOURCES, AS OF 16 APRIL 2026 (AEST). COMPANY GUIDANCE, BACKLOG AND OPERATING METRICS ARE FROM THE LATEST COMPANY FILINGS OR RESULTS PRESENTATIONS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. FIGURES AND SCHEDULES MAY CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE.

$MSFT | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Microsoft Corporation

NASDAQ | Technology | 29 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$4.04
Consensus Revenue
US$81.40bn
AU/ASIA 30 Apr | 6:05 am
US/LATAM 29 Apr | 4:05 pm
Market Intelligence: $MSFT

Analysis: Microsoft price drivers and scenarios

Azure Growth Target
37-38%
Constant currency projection
AI Contribution
+6-8 pts
Azure revenue from AI services
FY26 Capex
US$146bn
Total infrastructure spending
AVG
LOW US$3.86 AVG US$4.04 HIGH US$4.14

Microsoft is being tested on a specific question: can it turn heavy AI spending into margin expansion? A result above US$4.14 could ease concerns over "capex fatigue" and demonstrate whether Azure growth is re-accelerating alongside enterprise AI adoption.

Factors that could move the markets

Azure growth rate
Watch if constant-currency growth re-accelerates above 39%, suggesting AI workloads are filling new capacity rather than sitting idle.
Signal: Capacity Utilisation
Workplace agent adoption
The shift to autonomous agents is central. Clear enterprise uptake in Dynamics 365 supports the high-tier subscription thesis.
Signal: Software Monetisation
Maia 200 cost savings
If the in-house AI chip is lowering inference costs at production levels, gross margins may start to recover from recent compression.
Watch: Gross Margin Recovery
Regulatory backdrop
Ongoing scrutiny of cloud bundling practices remains a potential headwind; management commentary here is vital for the long-term view.
Watch: Bundling Compliance
Sentiment Analysis · Microsoft Corp.

Interactive scenario analysis: $MSFT

Select earnings outcome
AI Scaling Proof

Strong result, backed by real AI progress

EPS above US$4.14 and Azure re-acceleration above 39% could support the view that AI spending is starting to translate into commercial returns. Workplace Agents show measurable ROI and FY26 guidance is raised.
EPS Outcome
Above US$4.14
Cloud Signal
Accelerating
Guidance
Raised
Possible reaction
Strong rally
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 16 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Expanded Coverage

Beyond the chipmakers

As the "show me the money" year unfolds, discover how AI demand is impacting Tesla, NextEra, and Exxon.

Alphabet: search to infrastructure

Alphabet has transformed from a search business into a sprawling AI infrastructure play, and this result will test whether that transformation is delivering. The US$185 billion capex forecast for 2026 is extraordinary, close to double last year's spending.

EPS is expected to decline slightly year on year, precisely because that infrastructure spending is consuming capital. The question is whether Google Cloud's growth is fast enough to show a credible path back to margin recovery, and whether Ironwood, the seventh-generation custom AI chip, is proving its cost-per-query advantage at scale.

$GOOGL | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Alphabet Inc.

NASDAQ | Technology | 29 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$2.64
Consensus Revenue
US$92.14bn
AU/ASIA 30 Apr | 6:30 am
US/LATAM 29 Apr | 4:30 pm
Market Intelligence: $GOOGL

Analysis: Alphabet price drivers and scenarios

Cloud growth
48% YoY
Compared with last quarter
Ironwood TPU
10x peak
Vs previous-generation chip
2026 Capex
US$185bn
Double last year's spending
AVG
LOW US$2.50 AVG US$2.64 HIGH US$2.80

Alphabet has shifted to being viewed as a broader AI infrastructure play. The question is whether Cloud growth can support a path back to margin recovery while the massive US$185bn infrastructure buildout absorbs capital.

Factors that could move the markets

Google Cloud momentum
Markets are watching if the 48% growth rate holds, specifically among customers using Ironwood TPUs for large-scale AI.
Signal: Enterprise AI Adoption
Search & AI overview
If compute-intensive AI summaries are monetising through ads, it supports core search economics in the AI era.
Focus: Search Economics
Capex & margin trajectory
With free cash flow under pressure from US$185bn capex, markets want to know when infrastructure investment will moderate.
Watch: Spending Ceiling
DOJ antitrust risk
Management commentary on the legal timeline for Chrome or Android divestiture appeals will influence how risk is priced.
Watch: Regulatory Remedies
Sentiment Analysis · Alphabet Inc.

Interactive scenario analysis: $GOOGL

Select earnings outcome
Efficiency Proof

Ironwood efficiency drives upside

EPS above US$2.80 and cloud growth above 45% suggest Ironwood is cutting costs and strengthening Google’s advantage faster than expected.
EPS outcome
Above US$2.80
Cloud Signal
Strong growth
Waymo
Accelerating
Reaction
Sentiment improves
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 16 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

NVIDIA: the hardware cycle read through

NVIDIA is no longer simply a chip company. It has become what analysts now describe as the central bank of compute, the entity whose product determines how much AI capacity the world can actually deploy.

The upcoming Q1 FY2027 result will test whether the new Vera Rubin R100 GPU architecture, which entered mass production ahead of schedule, is already contributing to revenue, and whether NVIDIA can sustain gross margins above 75% as inference, rather than training, becomes the dominant workload. Inference is more competitive and more price-sensitive than training, so margin resilience here matters.

$NVDA | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

NVIDIA Corporation

NASDAQ | Semiconductors | 20 May 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$1.70
Consensus Revenue
US$78.42bn
AU/ASIA 21 May | 6:30 am
US/LATAM 20 May | 4:30 pm
Market Intelligence: $NVDA

Analysis: NVIDIA price drivers and scenarios

Revenue growth
73% YoY
Last quarter benchmark
Data centre share
91%+
Share of total revenue
Rubin R100
In production
Mass production began April 2026
AVG
LOW US$76bn AVG US$78bn HIGH US$81bn+

NVIDIA’s outlook depends on whether Rubin R100 can keep gross margins above 75% as inference becomes a bigger part of demand. Because inference is more price-sensitive than training, margins are the key test.

Factors that could move the markets

Rubin ramp-up
Watch whether Rubin production can scale smoothly without disrupting the Blackwell transition.
Signal: supply chain continuity
Inference margins
The key test is whether NVIDIA can keep gross margins above 75% as inference revenue grows.
Signal: pricing power holds up
Sovereign AI demand
Government-backed investment in Europe and the Middle East could broaden the base beyond hyperscalers.
Signal: market expansion
CUDA regulatory risk
Any US or European scrutiny of NVIDIA’s software advantage could move the stock regardless of the revenue result.
Signal: software moat under review
Sentiment Analysis · NVIDIA Corp.

Interactive scenario analysis: $NVDA

Select earnings outcome
Rubin ramp supports growth

Rubin ramp supports growth

Revenue above US$81 billion may suggest the Rubin ramp is tracking ahead of expectations. That could support the view that AI demand is broadening into sovereign AI and enterprise markets, helping extend visibility into 2027.
Revenue Outcome
Above US$81bn
Gross Margin
Above 75%
Workload
Inference strong
Reaction
Positive read-through
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 16 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Thematic Risks

What could shift the picture

Three risks could change the narrative regardless of how the numbers print. Each one is worth understanding before the results land.

Capex fatigue

If both Microsoft and Alphabet report in line or below expectations while reaffirming enormous spending plans, the market may start pricing the risk that AI monetisation is slower than the spending implies. That is not a stock-specific concern. It would be a broader de-rating event, affecting the valuations of companies across the technology sector.

Regulatory escalation

The FTC investigation into Microsoft, the DOJ case against Alphabet, and emerging EU scrutiny of NVIDIA's CUDA software ecosystem are all active. A material legal development before the earnings calls could overshadow the financial results entirely. Regulatory risk in this sector is not theoretical. It is live and moving.

Competition from custom silicon

Microsoft's Maia 200 chip, Alphabet's Ironwood TPU, Amazon's Trainium and Meta's custom accelerators are all reducing how much the large cloud companies depend on NVIDIA hardware. If any of these companies signals a meaningful shift in its GPU procurement plans, that could create uncertainty around NVIDIA's forward order book.

Note: These systemic risks represent thematic pivots that may influence risk appetite independently of headline EPS beats.
The Bottom Line

The 2026 reality check

Microsoft and Alphabet report on the same evening, 29 April. NVIDIA follows in late May. Together, they offer the clearest read yet on whether the AI infrastructure buildout is generating returns fast enough to justify the extraordinary scale of capital being committed.

$MSFT

AI spend is shifting from cost to competitive advantage. The question is whether margins can follow.

$GOOGL

Vertical integration from chips to search to cloud may prove to be a moat, or an expensive position to defend.

$NVDA

This is the pulse of the AI hardware cycle, and a test of whether Rubin can keep the supercycle alive into 2027.

Taken together, they offer a read on a market that looks more physical, more capital-intensive and, for many traders, more real.

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GO Markets
April 16, 2026
Why Tesla NextEra and Exxon matter this earnings season, what to watch in Tesla earnings 2026, how AI power demand affects NextEra Energy, what Exxon Mobil earnings could signal for oil markets, Tesla Megapack growth outlook 2026, NextEra data centre power demand explained, Exxon Mobil oil supply risk outlook, energy stocks to watch in April 2026
AI
Commodity
Tesla, NextEra and Exxon: Oil vs. AI demand this US earnings season

April’s US earnings season is arriving in a market that is asking harder questions. It is no longer enough for companies to tell a good story. Traders want to see whether the physical side of the next cycle is turning into real revenue, steadier margins and clearer guidance.

That is why Tesla, NextEra Energy and Exxon Mobil matter this month. Each sits close to a theme the market is trying to price right now: autonomy, electricity demand and oil supply risk. They are very different businesses, but together they offer a useful read on where attention may be shifting when the market wants something more tangible.

In 2026, those signals are colliding with a high-friction backdrop:

  1. AI power demand is pushing utilities, storage and grid capacity into focus
  2. Tesla needs to show that autonomy and energy can support the next chapter beyond EV margins
  3. Oil supply risk has pushed energy security back into the conversation

Why this part of the market matters

The broader theme here is simple. AI still matters. Growth still matters. But this earnings season may also test the companies supplying the power, infrastructure and fuel behind that story.

For beginner to intermediate traders, this matters because these stocks can move for very different reasons. Tesla can trade on margins and product narrative. NextEra can trade on power demand and capital spending plans. Exxon can move with crude, refining margins and buyback confidence. Looking at them together gives traders a clearer way to think about how the market is pricing the real economy side of the 2026 story.

IMPORTANT: REPORTING SCHEDULES CAN CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. REPORTING DATES AND RELEASE TIMES ARE FROM COMPANY INVESTOR RELATIONS CALENDARS WHERE MARKED CONFIRMED; OTHERWISE THEY ARE GO MARKETS ESTIMATES. CONSENSUS EPS, REVENUE AND ANALYST-RANGE DATA ARE FROM THIRD-PARTY MARKET CONSENSUS SOURCES, AS OF 14 APRIL 2026 (AEST). COMPANY GUIDANCE, BACKLOG AND OPERATING METRICS ARE FROM THE LATEST COMPANY FILINGS OR RESULTS PRESENTATIONS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. FIGURES AND SCHEDULES MAY CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE.

$TSLA | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Tesla Inc.

NASDAQ | Consumer Discretionary | 23 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$0.41
Consensus Revenue
US$22.26bn
AU/ASIA 24 Apr | 6:05 am
US/LATAM 23 Apr | 4:05 pm
Market Intelligence: $TSLA

Analysis: Tesla price drivers and scenarios

Auto Gross Margin
17-19%
Target floor, excl. credits
Megapack Growth
+25% YoY
Projected energy deployment
Analyst range
US$0.32-0.48
EPS estimate range
AVG
LOW US$0.32 AVG US$0.41 HIGH US$0.48

The US$0.16 analyst range shows there is still a lot of uncertainty. The main question is how weaker vehicle deliveries compare with stronger, higher-margin energy storage contributions. A result above US$0.48 would suggest the autonomy and battery story is improving faster than the bear case expects.

Key factors that could move the result

Automotive gross margin
This is the most important number for Tesla’s core business. Markets want to see whether price cuts have started to settle, or whether margins are still under pressure.
Benchmark: 17% (excluding credits)
Energy storage (Megapacks)
This is the more durable growth story. Strong Megapack deployment and battery margins could help offset weaker vehicle deliveries
Focus: Storage growth versus pressure in the auto business
Full Self-Driving (FSD) & Robotaxi
This is the main narrative driver. Markets will watch for updates on FSD adoption and the robotaxi timeline to judge whether the move towards “physical AI” is becoming more credible.
Watch: Timing for next-generation autonomy technology
Regulatory credits
This is a quality check on the result. If EPS is boosted too much by credit sales, some traders may see the beat as less durable.
Watch: How much credit sales contribute to final EPS
Trade Execution: $TSLA

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026

Bull case
EPS above US$0.45, energy margins at 20%+ | FSD take rates rising
The result clears the top-tier analyst range. Commentary focuses on FSD scaling and Megapack production ramps rather than vehicle discounting. FY26 guidance is reaffirmed.
Possible reaction: stronger momentum, with short covering adding support
Base case
EPS between US$0.38 and US$0.43, auto margins stable | Near target
The result is close to expectations, but there is no major surprise from the energy business. The market stays focused on the robotaxi timeline. The initial move may be limited if the product mix looks unchanged.
Possible reaction: range-bound trading or a muted early response
Bear case
EPS below US$0.35, auto margins drop below 16% | Signs of FSD delays
The result misses even cautious expectations. Rising inventory suggests more discounting may be needed. The market starts to question whether the level of spending on AI and autonomy is too high.
Possible reaction: rotation out of the stock, especially if growth confidence weakens
Sentiment Analysis · Tesla Inc.

Interactive scenario analysis: $TSLA

Select earnings outcome
Growth momentum

Strong result, helped by energy and FSD

FSD and Energy do better than expected, which helps offset weaker car deliveries. Management gives the market more confidence that autonomy is getting closer to real revenue. Auto margins staying above 17% would also help.
EPS Outcome
Above US$0.45
Energy Signal
On track
Margins
At or above 17%
Likely Reaction
Strong rally

Sources & Data Methodology Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 14 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings, results presentations or investor relations materials unless stated otherwise. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

From autonomy to electricity

If Tesla is the market’s test of whether physical AI can become a business, NextEra is a test of whether the power buildout behind AI is starting to show up more clearly in utility economics.

That is what makes the shift from Tesla to NextEra interesting. One is about ambition and platform narrative. The other is about power, contracts, infrastructure and return on capital.

$NEE | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

NextEra Energy, Inc.

NYSE | Utilities | 24 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$0.91
Consensus Revenue
US$7.17bn
AUSTRALIA (AEST) 24 Apr | 9:35 pm
ASIA (UTC+8) 24 Apr | 7:35 pm
Market Intelligence: $NEE

Analysis: NEE price drivers and scenarios

Backlog Conversion
~29.8 GW
Energy Resources total backlog
Growth Framework
8%+ Annual
Adjusted EPS growth through 2032
Analyst Range
US$0.88 - 1.06
Q1 estimate spread
AVG
LOW US$0.88 AVG US$0.92 HIGH US$1.06

Against the 2026 ‘year of proof’ theme, the key issue is whether upcoming results turn strategic announcements into clearer execution signals. NextEra is a test of whether the power buildout behind AI is starting to show up clearly in utility economics.

Trade Execution: $NEE

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026

Key signals to watch

Contract Quality
Watch for movement from customer interest (20+ GW) to signed large load agreements.
Signal: Large load monetization
Natural Gas Hub Strategy
Firmer milestones on the approved up to 10 GW natural gas buildout approved earlier this year.
Signal: Infrastructure execution
Funding Clarity
Monitoring the impacts of the US$2.3bn equity sale and any potential Japanese funding progress.
Signal: Financing risk management
Sentiment Analysis · NextEra Energy

Interactive scenario analysis: $NEE

Select earnings outcome
Execution Focus

"Utility Renaissance" validates via execution signals

EPS above US$1.06 shifts attention to execution. Management points to signed large load agreements and clearer milestones for natural gas buildout. Progress converting 29.8 GW backlog into construction-ready projects strengthens sentiment significantly.
EPS Outcome
Above US$1.06
Infrastructure Signal
Contracts Signed
Likely Reaction
Sentiment Strengthens
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 13 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

From power to oil

If NextEra reflects the electricity side of the real economy story, Exxon Mobil reflects the fuel side. That matters in a market where supply risk can still reset inflation expectations, shift sector leadership and change how traders think about defensiveness.

$XOM | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Exxon Mobil Corporation

NYSE | Energy | 29 Apr 2026
Estimated

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$1.66
Consensus Revenue
US$82.47bn
AUSTRALIA (AEST) 29 Apr | 8:30 pm
ASIA (UTC+8) 29 Apr | 6:30 pm
Market Intelligence: $XOM

Analysis: XOM price drivers and scenarios

Liquids Pricing Effect
+$1.9B - $2.3B
Positive 1Q realized price support
Energy Products Timing
-$3.3B to -$4.1B
Unfavourable 1Q accounting drag
Analyst Range
US$1.60 - 1.85
Low to high Q1 estimate spread
AVG
LOW US$1.60 AVG US$1.66 HIGH US$1.85

Exxon is the clearest oil-linked test in the market. The key issue is whether stronger oil and gas pricing can outweigh volume disruptions (6% production hit) and massive negative timing effects from Energy Products.

Trade Execution: $XOM

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026

Key signals to watch

Price Support vs Volume
Did the $2.3B pricing tailwind absorb the 6% Middle East production disruption?
Signal: Realized price strength
Timing Reversibility
Management commentary on whether the $4.1B timing drag is strictly non-cash and accounting-related.
Signal: Quality of earnings beat
Guyana Execution
Operational updates on the core upstream portfolio to ensure the long-term growth story remains constructive.
Signal: Upstream resilience
Sentiment Analysis · Exxon Mobil

Interactive scenario analysis: $XOM

Select earnings outcome
Price Support

Pricing tailwind more than absorbed the disruption

EPS above US$1.85 suggests high realized pricing from liquids absorbed volume hits. Management indicates timing effects were less severe than feared, with constructive operational updates from Guyana and the broader upstream portfolio.
EPS Outcome
Above US$1.85
Timing Impact
Smaller than feared
Likely Reaction
Sentiment Strengthens
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates from company investor relations (Estimated for April 29, BMO). Consensus EPS and analyst-range data from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers as at 13 April 2026 (AEDT). Scenario analysis reflects evaluateions of internal energy considerations. Figures and schedules are subject to change without notice.

Bottom line This late-April energy cluster is about more than three company reports. It is a live test of what the market wants to pay for in 2026. Tesla can show whether autonomy and energy are becoming more than a promise. NextEra can show whether rising electricity demand is turning into practical utility growth. Exxon can show whether oil strength still translates into durable earnings power. Taken together, they offer a useful read on the part of the market that looks more physical, more capital-intensive and, for many traders, more real.

Your next earnings setup starts here

Stay ahead of major beats, misses, and market surprises. Log in to your terminal, open a new account, or explore our dedicated earnings academy.

Need help? Contact our support team

GO Markets
April 15, 2026
US Earnings
AI
Defesa, disrupção e grandes finanças: 3 nomes que valem a pena assistir nesta temporada de resultados

Então é o seguinte: a temporada de resultados de abril nos EUA está chegando a um mercado que ainda parece tudo menos normal. Como a GO Markets explica em O manual global de ganhos dos EUA: o guia essencial para comerciantes, esse período de relatório está chegando após uma mudança real no que interessa aos mercados. Não se trata mais apenas de buscar o crescimento a qualquer custo. É sobre o que os números estão dizendo abaixo da superfície.

E em 2026, esses sinais estão colidindo com um cenário de alto atrito:

  1. Conflito geopolítico: Tensão contínua no Oriente Médio
  2. Choque no fornecimento de óleo: Brent bruto acima de USD 100
  3. O Fed: Um banco central ainda preso à inflação persistente

O pivô de durabilidade

Sim, a IA ainda é a história principal do mercado, mas ainda é o mecanismo chamativo que está recebendo a maior parte da atenção. Mas, por baixo disso, há um movimento mais silencioso em direção a empresas que parecem criadas para se manter melhor quando as condições ficam mais difíceis.

Quando as taxas são incertas e os mercados de energia estão sob pressão, nomes como JPMorgan Chase e os principais empreiteiros de defesa começam a ter mais peso. Eles não estão substituindo a narrativa da IA, mas sim se tornando parte da forma como os traders leem o apetite pelo risco, a durabilidade dos lucros e, em última análise, onde o mercado está procurando algo mais sólido em que se agarrar.

! Important: Reporting schedules can change without notice. Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are from third-party market consensus sources, as of 7 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are from the latest company filings or results presentations unless stated otherwise. Figures and schedules may change without notice.
$JPM | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

NYSE | Financial Services | 14 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$5.42
Consensus Revenue
US$47.88bn
AU/ASIA 14 Apr | 8:45 pm
US/LATAM 14 Apr | 6:45 am
Market Intelligence: $JPM

Analysis: JPM price drivers and scenarios

NII guidance
~US$103 billion
Full year | US$95 billionn ex:markets
ROTCE target
17%
Possible return on tangible common equity
Analyst range
US$5.02-5.70
Low to high estimate spread
AVG
LOW US$5.02 AVG US$5.39 HIGH US$5.70

The analyst spread of US$0.68 signals genuine disagreement about how the rate environment is flowing through to margins. A result above consensus but below the high end estimate may produce a muted reaction. A result above US$5.70 may shift the discussion.

Key swing factors for the result

Net interest income (NII)
The clearest macro lever. It reflects the gap between lending rates and deposit costs.
Guidance: US$103 billion for the full year
Return on tangible common equity (ROTCE)
A scale check. It indicates whether JPM is converting scale into efficiency. 17% is the benchmark.
Target: 17% ROTCE
Trading and investment banking
Strong Q1 growth was expected in fees and markets revenue. These lines can offset softness in lending, and stronger-than-expected performance here may shift the narrative away from rate sensitivity.
Watch: investment banking (IB) fees versus the prior quarter
Expense discipline
A bank can beat the EPS estimate and still sell off if expense growth is running too hot. Pairing the EPS result with the expense trajectory gives a fuller read on whether the beat is durable.
Watch: Expense outlook commentary
Trade Execution: $JPM

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026

Bull case
EPS above US$5.70, NII on track | ROTCE at or above 17%
The result comes in above the top of the analyst range. NII guidance holds or is revised higher. IB fees and markets revenue show strong Q1 growth. Expense commentary is constructive.
Possible reaction: momentum and repositioning
Base case
EPS between US$5.39 and US$5.70, NII in line | ROTCE near target
The result beats consensus but stays within the expected range. NII tracks guidance. The tone of the conference call may matter more than the headline number. The first move may fade if guidance is unchanged.
Possible reaction: muted or mixed initial response
Bear case
EPS below US$5.39 | NII misses | Expense growth surprises
The result comes in at or below the consensus midpoint. NII guidance is cut or qualified. Expense growth comes in above market expectations. IB or markets revenue disappoints.
Possible reaction: earnings multiple repricing

Reaction trigger to watch: The market response in the first 30 minutes after the result may indicate which scenario traders are leaning towards. A move above the prior session high on volume may support the bull case. A fade back into the range after an initial pop may point to the base case. A break below the prior session low on volume may suggest the bear case is gaining traction.

Sentiment Analysis · JPMorgan Chase

Interactive scenario analysis: $JPM

Select earnings outcome
Growth momentum

AI-linked offset, beat supported by NII and ROTCE

Stronger-than-expected demand for AI-related industrial lending may offset softer mortgage activity. Management maintains guidance as NII remains resilient in higher-for-longer conditions. IB fees and markets revenue may provide additional support. ROTCE at or above 17% would suggest the bank is converting scale into earnings efficiently.
EPS Outcome
Above US$5.70
NII Signal
On track
ROTCE
At or above 17%
Likely Reaction
Momentum may build

Sources & Data Methodology Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 7 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings, results presentations or investor relations materials unless stated otherwise. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

From credit to defence

If JPMorgan gives the market an early read on the consumer, credit quality and business activity, the defence names may be telling a different story. This is the point where the focus may start to shift from the credit cycle to government-backed demand.

In a market still shaped by geopolitical risk, that matters. Long-dated programs can help support revenue visibility, even when the broader outlook looks less certain. That is one reason the sector remains on the watchlist.

$LMT | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Lockheed Martin Corp.

NYSE | Aerospace | Defense | 22 Apr 2026
Estimated

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$6.50
Consensus Revenue
US$16.32bn
AU | ASIA 22 Apr | 9:20 pm
US | LATAM 22 Apr | 7:20 am
Market Intelligence: $LMT

Analysis: LMT price drivers and scenarios

Order backlog
US$194 billionn
Record visibility
Book-to-bill
1.2x
Orders outpacing sales
Analyst range
US$6.90-7.10
Low to high estimate spread
AVG
LOW ~US$6.90 AVG ~US$6.94 HIGH US$7.10+

The consensus sits near the lower end of the analyst range. That positioning may leave room for upside if backlog growth and F-35 delivery timelines support execution. A print near the high end, above US$7.10, may extend the move, although the reaction would still depend on guidance and margins.

Key swing factors for the result

Backlog visibility
Primary evidence of demand. Book-to-bill above 1.2x would support full-year guidance and the production ramp.
Backlog: US$194 billion record
Free cash flow (FCF)
Defence stocks are often assessed on cash conversion. The market may look for confirmation of the US$6.5 billion floor.
Guide: US$6.5 billion - $6.8 billion
Missile segment growth
PrSM and THAAD deliveries remain key watchpoints. Strong space margins may help offset softness in aeronautics.
Watch: Fire Control margins
Margin pressure
Pension charges and production inflation remain risks. An earnings beat may fade if operating margins contract.
Watch: segment operating margin
Trade Execution: $LMT

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026

Bull case
EPS above US$6.70, backlog visibility confirmed | FCF guide holds
The result clears the upper half of the analyst range. Management reaffirms or raises the full-year FCF outlook. Strong Missiles and Fire Control (MFC) margins help offset any aeronautics supply chain lag.
Possible reaction: momentum may build and positioning may improve
Base case
EPS between US$6.30 and US$6.70 | Backlog steady at about US$194 billion
The result aligns with the US$6.38 consensus. F-35 delivery pace remains on track but offers no meaningful upside surprise. The market may wait for more specific segment guidance on the conference call.
Possible reaction: muted or mixed initial response
Bear case
EPS below US$6.30 | FCF guide qualified, margin contraction
The result falls towards the bottom of the analyst spread. Management cites further software delays or program losses. The FCF trajectory narrows towards the lower end of previous expectations.
Possible reaction: the share price may come under pressure

Reaction trigger to watch: The market response in the first 30 minutes after the result may indicate which scenario traders are leaning towards. A move above the prior session high on volume may support the bull case. A fade back into the range after an initial pop may point to the base case. A break below the prior session low on volume may suggest the bear case is gaining traction.

Sentiment Analysis · Lockheed Martin

Interactive scenario analysis: $LMT

Select earnings outcome
Backlog confirmed

Backlog and FCF confirmation may support continuation

EPS clears the top of the analyst range. Backlog holds at or above US$194 billion and book-to-bill stays above 1.2, which would suggest orders are replenishing faster than revenue is being recognised. FCF guidance holds within the stated range.
EPS outcome
Above US$7.00
Backlog signal
Above US$194 billion
FCF guide
Holds or improves
Likely reaction
Continuation may follow

Sources & Data Methodology Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 7 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings, results presentations or investor relations materials unless stated otherwise. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Not all defence names are the same

Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman may sit in the same defence bucket, but the market does not always read them the same way. Lockheed is more closely tied to the F-35 and current air combat demand. Northrop is more closely linked to next-generation programs such as the B-21 Raider and Sentinel.

That gives this section its contrast. One is often read through the lens of current defence demand. The other is more closely tied to longer-cycle strategic modernisation.

$NOC | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Northrop Grumman Corp.

NYSE | Defense | Space Systems | 23 Apr 2026
Estimated

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$6.12
Consensus Revenue
US$10.24 bn
AU | ASIA 23 Apr | 10:30 pm
US | LATAM 23 Apr | 8:30 am
Market Intelligence: $NOC

Analysis: NOC price drivers and scenarios

Consensus EPS
US$6.96
Quarterly analyst average
Order Backlog
US$95.7 billion
Record revenue visibility
FY 2026 EPS guide
US$27.40-US$27.90
Full-year 2026 outlook
AVG
LOW ~US$6.90 AVG ~US$6.96 HIGH US$7.20+

The consensus sits near the lower end of the analyst range. That offers a quick visual for whether the result is merely in line or strong enough to ease the guidance concerns that weighed on the stock after its last update. A result above US$7.20 may shift the conversation more materially.

Key swing factors for the result

Book-to-bill ratio
Currently at 1.10, suggesting orders are still running ahead of revenue recognition. This remains an important signal for multi-year growth visibility in defence.
Watch: 1.10 target
Guidance reset risk
Management’s guidance previously came in below market expectations. The market may be sensitive to any further softening in the 2026 outlook.
Watch: guidance commentary
Program concentration
The B-21 Raider and Sentinel carry outsized execution sensitivity. Updates on production ramp and funding may be the clearest drivers of sentiment for the stock.
Watch: B-21 and Sentinel updates
Capacity investment
Higher capital expenditure (capex) supports the industrial base over the longer term, but it may pressure near-term margins. Watch for signs that current investment is weighing on earnings power.
Watch: operating margins
Trade Execution: $NOC

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026

Bull case
EPS above US$6.30, backlog expansion above US$96 billion | Free cash flow (FCF) guidance raised
The result comes in above the cited threshold. Management says B-21 Raider production is ahead of schedule, with improving margins. Sentinel program restructuring costs remain below baseline expectations. International awards lift the book-to-bill ratio above 1.15.
Possible reaction: momentum may improve
Base case
EPS between US$6.00 and US$6.20, backlog steady at about US$95.7 billion
The result is broadly in line with the cited range. FCF targets for 2026 are reaffirmed but not expanded. Market focus shifts to organic sales growth metrics and segment operating margins. The initial reaction may depend on the timing of B-21 milestone payments.
Possible reaction: little reaction
Bear case
EPS below US$5.95 | margin pressure, guidance narrowed
The result lands near the low end of the analyst spread. Management flags higher infrastructure costs for Sentinel or delays in restricted space segment awards. Margin pressure in Aeronautics persists, and the 2026 revenue guide narrows towards the US$43.5 billion floor.
Possible reaction: shares may weaken

Reaction trigger to watch: The market response in the first 30 minutes after the result may indicate which scenario traders are leaning towards. A move above the prior session high on volume may support the bull case. A fade back into the range after an initial pop may point to the base case. A break below the prior session low on volume may suggest the bear case is gaining traction.

Sentiment Analysis · Northrop Grumman

Interactive scenario analysis: $NOC

Select earnings outcome
Stealth momentum

B-21 momentum, stronger execution and FCF support

EPS clears US$6.15. Management confirms a production capacity agreement for the B-21 Raider. Sentinel restructuring reaches Milestone B on schedule. Record backlog visibility and higher FCF guidance towards US$3.5 billion may support broader repositioning.
EPS outcome
Above US$6.15
B-21 Signal
Acceleration
FCF guide
$3.5 billionn range
Likely reaction
Momentum rally

Sources & Data Methodology Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 7 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings, results presentations or investor relations materials unless stated otherwise. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Bottom line

In a market shaped by geopolitical risk and shifting rate expectations, companies with visible demand and longer-cycle revenue may continue to attract attention. But sentiment can still turn quickly if valuations are stretched, rate expectations shift again, or tensions in the Middle East ease.

That is why the story still needs to be tested against the numbers, not just the narrative. GO Markets will be analysing more companies throughout this earnings season. For more updates, visit our earnings page, follow our social media channels, or check the weekly newsletters.

Your next earnings setup starts here

Stay ahead of major beats, misses, and market surprises. Log in to your terminal, open a new account, or explore our dedicated earnings academy.

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GO Markets
April 7, 2026
US Earnings
Shares
The global US earnings playbook: The essential guide for traders

If you have been watching markets over the past year, you will have noticed that the "growth at any cost" era has effectively hit a wall. The April 2026 earnings cycle arrives at a moment when the market's focus has undergone a structural reorientation. It is not just about profit and loss statements anymore. It is about the signals sitting behind them.

With interest rate uncertainty lingering and geopolitical shocks pushing oil above US$100, the playbook has shifted from AI hype toward institutional resilience and the industrialisation of compute. For traders in Australia, Asia and Latin America, these results may act as a mood ring for global risk appetite and the emerging security supercycle.

Important - Dates, Times and Figures

All earnings dates marked as confirmed or estimated should be verified against current company investor relations calendars before you act on them. Reporting schedules can change without notice due to corporate decisions, regulatory requirements or exchange timetable adjustments.

The mechanics: How the timing works across time zones

The US earnings season does not arrive as a smooth drip. It arrives in waves. For non-US traders, the primary challenge is the overnight gap: major results land while you are away from your desk and can move index CFDs before your local market opens. Before market open (BMO) and after market close (AMC) matter just as much as the numbers themselves. The timing changes how quickly markets react, when liquidity is available and whether the first move has already happened before your session begins.

Why BMO and AMC matter

A BMO result hits before the US cash market opens, so price discovery happens in pre-market trading where liquidity is thinner and moves can be exaggerated. An AMC result hits after close, meaning the reaction is compressed into a short pre-market window the following morning. Understanding which window your company reports in is as important as understanding what it reports.

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The key themes for Q1

For this cycle, the market is no longer rewarding AI mentions alone. It is looking for return on investment (ROI) proof. The four thematic snapshots below help explain where attention is likely to sit as results come through. Each theme has its own section with company cards that can be updated each quarter.

T1
Theme 1 — Institutional anchors

Defence against volatility

These companies are often watched as relative defensives during energy shocks and inflation spikes, although they remain exposed to normal share-price risk. When macro uncertainty rises, money has historically rotated toward businesses with contracted revenue, government-linked demand or pricing power that is not dependent on the consumer cycle — but past rotation patterns do not guarantee future performance.

JPM
JPMorgan Chase
Tuesday, 14 April Confirmed
Watch For

Net interest margin (NIM) under higher for longer rates, and whether AI spending remains cost neutral.

LMT
Lockheed Martin
Wednesday, 22 April Estimated
Watch For

F-35 delivery schedules and the company's ability to absorb tariff related costs on supply chain inputs.

NOC
Northrop Grumman
Monday, 27 April Confirmed
Watch For

B-21 Raider production progress and the conversion of its reported US$95.7 billion backlog into recognised revenue.

T2
Theme 2 — Tangible capital

EVs and energy

As parts of tech slow, investors have been rotating toward tangible, capital-intensive businesses. The energy transition and the infrastructure required to support AI data centre power demand have put utilities and energy companies in an unusual position: they are now growth stocks with defensive characteristics — though all remain subject to ordinary equity and sector risk.

TSLA
Tesla
Thursday, 23 April Confirmed
Watch For

The strategic shift from EV margins toward robotaxi and energy storage as the new growth narrative.

NEE
NextEra Energy
Friday, 24 April Estimated
Watch For

Data centre power demand and progress on its reported 30 GW contracted backlog as utilities face new infrastructure pressure.

XOM
Exxon Mobil
Wednesday, 29 April Estimated
Watch For

Permian and Guyana volume growth, and cash flow resilience during the Hormuz supply disruption.

T3
Theme 3 — The hardware invoice phase

AI infrastructure

This is the engine room of the S&P 500 and the part of the market most tied to whether AI capital expenditure is generating measurable returns. The question the market is now asking is not whether these companies are spending on AI. It is whether the spending is translating into capacity utilisation and revenue that justifies the multiple.

MSFT / GOOGL
Microsoft and Alphabet
Monday, 27 April Estimated
Watch For

Azure and Cloud capacity constraints against heavy AI capital expenditure. The gap between spending and utilisation is the market's primary concern.

NVDA
NVIDIA
Wednesday, 27 May Estimated
Watch For

Blackwell GPU demand and gross margin sustainability as the product cycle matures and competition intensifies.

T4
Theme 4 — K-shaped recovery

Consumer platforms and devices

This theme tests the K-shaped consumer recovery: higher-income cohorts remain more resilient while lower-income cohorts face continued pressure from elevated borrowing costs and energy prices. Ad revenue and device upgrade cycles are the clearest indicators of where on the K-curve the consumer sits.

META / AMZN
Meta and Amazon
28 to 29 April Estimated
Watch For

AI-driven ad click improvements against Reality Labs spending and retail logistics costs as the profitability test for non-core investment.

AAPL
Apple
Thursday, 30 April Estimated
Watch For

iPhone upgrade cycle momentum and the Apple Intelligence rollout in China as the first real-world test of AI-driven hardware demand.

Analysis checklist: how to read each result

Use this structure for every company on your watchlist. A headline beat is common. The bigger market move often comes from how the market translates the details sitting behind the number.

1
Projected consensus

This is the bar for earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. Small beats may already be priced in. The market often sets a whisper number above the published consensus, so a technically positive result can still disappoint.

2
The call focus

Identify the single variable analysts are most focused on this cycle: capital expenditure versus margins, inventory turnover, customer growth rate, or contract backlog conversion.

3
The translation

A beat, meet or miss each carries a different market dynamic.

Beat Matters most when forward guidance is credible. Without it, the initial move may reverse.
Meet Often shifts focus to the tone of the call, particularly language around capacity or outlook.
Miss Can be treated as the start of a trend and trigger a sharp repricing of valuation multiples.

The recency bias problem

The emotional trap many traders fall into is recency bias. Because the Magnificent 7 have led markets for so long, it can feel as though they are still the only trade that matters. That assumption deserves to be tested.

It's worth asking: Is the obvious trade already priced for perfection?

2026 is shaping up as a year of proof. Companies that spent heavily on AI over the past two years are now being asked to show the return. The market is no longer rewarding the announcement of AI investment. It is rewarding the evidence of AI-driven revenue outcomes.

A better framing question for each result is this: are you reacting to a headline, or are you assessing the company's role in the physical AI supply chain or as a potential volatility hedge? Those are very different analytical tasks, and they tend to produce very different positioning decisions.

What to watch next

Three time horizons, three distinct signals. Update these each cycle with the most relevant near-term catalyst, the sector rotation to watch, and the longer-horizon dispersion theme.

Next Two Weeks
Consumer health barometer

Watch the 31 March Nike report as a lead indicator for consumer discretionary health. Footwear and apparel demand signals tend to front-run broader retail sentiment.

Next 30 Days
Bank lending and industrial demand

Focus shifts to the major banks. If loan demand tied to industrial and infrastructure projects remains firm, the earnings cycle may have support beyond the tech sector.

Next 60 Days
Wider dispersion between winners and losers

Watch for dispersion to widen. The companies converting heavy capital expenditure into measurable revenue outcomes may separate clearly from those that cannot.

Client & Education Portal

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GO Markets
March 31, 2026
US Earnings
Market insights
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): perspectiva de lucros nos EUA

Data de ganhos esperados: quarta-feira, 25 de fevereiro de 2026 (EUA, após o fechamento do mercado)/~ 8h, quinta-feira, 26 de fevereiro de 2026 (AEDT)

Espera-se que a próxima divulgação de resultados da NVIDIA gire em torno do crescimento da receita do data center, da sustentabilidade da demanda relacionada à IA, da trajetória da margem bruta e da orientação futura para o ano fiscal de 2027 (FY2027).

É provável que os mercados se concentrem nas tendências de despesas de capital, na capacidade de fornecimento e nas perspectivas de infraestrutura de IA da gerência.

Alguns participantes do mercado também podem ver os resultados da NVIDIA como um sinal útil para um sentimento mais amplo de investimento relacionado à IA, embora os resultados ainda possam ser influenciados por fatores específicos da empresa e por condições de mercado mais amplas.

Principais áreas em foco

Centro de dados (chips de IA)

O segmento de data center continua sendo o principal impulsionador de crescimento da NVIDIA. É provável que os mercados monitorem as taxas de crescimento da receita, as margens brutas e as orientações sobre a demanda por aceleradores de IA.

Jogos

A NVIDIA também vende placas gráficas para PCs de jogos. Os mercados observarão se essa parte do negócio permanece estável e lucrativa, especialmente junto com as tendências mais amplas de consumo e do ciclo de PCs.

Visualização automotiva e profissional

Essas são divisões menores ligadas ao desenvolvimento de IA, software de design e direção autônoma. Normalmente, eles não são o principal impulsionador dos resultados de curto prazo, mas os comentários podem ser observados em busca de sinais de crescimento de longo prazo e impulso do produto.

Margens de lucro e custos

Os mercados avaliarão a lucratividade da NVIDIA, especialmente à medida que os investimentos relacionados à IA e a escalabilidade do fornecimento continuarem. As margens são um fator observado de perto, juntamente com o crescimento da receita, a orientação e um sentimento mais amplo de risco.

O que aconteceu no último trimestre

Em sua atualização trimestral mais recente, a NVIDIA relatou um forte crescimento de receita ano a ano, liderado principalmente pela demanda do data center.

Os comentários da gerência e os relatórios subsequentes mencionaram a força contínua na demanda de aceleradores de IA e referenciaram iniciativas contínuas de escalonamento da oferta.

Principais destaques dos últimos ganhos

  • Receita: USD 57,0 bilhões
  • Lucro por ação (EPS): USD 1,30 (diluído)
  • Receita do data center: USD 51,2 bilhões
  • Margem bruta: 73,4%
  • Receita operacional: USD 36,0 bilhões
Receita da NVIDIA no terceiro trimestre do ano fiscal de 25 - terceiro trimestre do ano fiscal de 26 | Apresentação para investidores da NVIDIA

O que os analistas esperam neste trimestre

As estimativas consensuais da Bloomberg apontam para um crescimento contínuo da receita ano a ano no próximo relatório, com os mercados focados no desempenho do data center e na orientação futura para o ano fiscal de 2027.

Ponto de referência consensual da Bloomberg:

  • EPS: cerca de US$1,52
  • Receita: cerca de USD 65,5 bilhões
  • EPS anual do ano fiscal de 2027: cerca de US$7,66

*Todos os pontos acima observados em 16 de fevereiro de 2026.

Em geral, os analistas esperam uma demanda sustentada relacionada à IA, enquanto a atenção permanece na dinâmica da oferta e no ritmo de qualquer normalização da demanda.

Expectativas implícitas no mercado

As opções listadas estavam precificando um movimento indicativo de aproximadamente ± 7% a ± 8% em torno da divulgação dos resultados, com base em estimativas de movimentação esperada implícitas em opções monetárias (ATM). A volatilidade implícita foi de aproximadamente 48% anualizados.

O que isso significa para os investidores australianos

Os lucros da NVIDIA podem influenciar o sentimento e a volatilidade de curto prazo nos principais índices de ações dos EUA, incluindo o NASDAQ 100, com potencial repercussão na sessão asiática após o lançamento.

Também pode influenciar o sentimento em relação a empresas e ETFs expostos à tecnologia listados na ASX com exposição a setores de crescimento de grande capitalização dos EUA, embora as correlações possam mudar rapidamente em grandes eventos.

Investidores baseados na Austrália também podem querer considerar Movimentos cambiais AUD/USD, o que pode afetar a conversão em moeda local de ações e ETFs offshore.

Nota de risco importante

Imediatamente após o fechamento dos EUA e no início da sessão asiática, os futuros do Nasdaq 100 (NDX) e os preços de CFD relacionados podem refletir menor liquidez, spreads mais amplos e repreços mais nítidos em torno de novas informações.

Esse ambiente pode aumentar o risco de lacunas e a incerteza de execução em relação às condições do horário normal.

Mike Smith
February 17, 2026
US Earnings
Market insights
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): perspectiva de lucros nos EUA

Data de ganhos esperados: Quarta-feira, 4 de fevereiro de 2026 (EUA, após o fechamento do mercado)/~ 8h, quinta-feira, 5 de fevereiro de 2026 (AEDT)

Os ganhos da Alphabet fornecem informações sobre a demanda global de publicidade digital, os gastos corporativos em nuvem e as tendências mais amplas de investimento no setor de tecnologia.

Como a Pesquisa do Google e o YouTube são amplamente usados por consumidores e empresas, os resultados geralmente são usados como uma única entrada ao avaliar a atividade on-line e os orçamentos de marketing corporativo, além de outros indicadores.

Principais áreas em foco

Pesquisar

A publicidade de busca continua sendo a maior fonte de receita da Alphabet. É provável que os mercados se concentrem nas taxas de crescimento de anúncios, nas métricas de preços, como custo por clique, e na demanda geral dos anunciantes em setores como varejo, viagens e empresas de pequeno a médio porte.

YouTube

O YouTube contribui com a receita de publicidade e de assinaturas. Os mercados geralmente monitoram a dinâmica da publicidade, as tendências de engajamento e os desenvolvimentos da monetização como indicadores das condições da mídia digital e dos gastos da marca.

Nuvem do Google

A lucratividade sustentada da nuvem é frequentemente discutida como um fator que pode influenciar as expectativas de lucros de longo prazo, embora os resultados permaneçam incertos. Espera-se que os mercados se concentrem no crescimento da receita, nas tendências de adoção empresarial e nas margens operacionais.

Outras apostas

Iniciativas como direção autônoma e ciências biológicas, embora normalmente contribuam menos para a receita, os mercados ainda podem observar os níveis de gastos e as atualizações de progresso como indicadores de alocação de capital e disciplina de custos.

Estrutura de custo e margem

A gerência já havia sinalizado um alto capex vinculado à infraestrutura de IA, incluindo data centers, chips especializados e capacidade de computação. Os custos de aquisição de tráfego, os níveis de pessoal e a expansão da infraestrutura também são variáveis-chave que influenciam a lucratividade.

O que aconteceu no último trimestre

A atualização trimestral mais recente da Alphabet destacou tendências de publicidade, lucratividade na nuvem e aumentos contínuos no capex para apoiar iniciativas de IA.

Comentários da administração indicaram que os gastos com infraestrutura têm como objetivo apoiar a competitividade de longo prazo, enquanto o mercado continua avaliando as compensações de margem de curto prazo.

Principais destaques dos últimos ganhos

Para obter os números relatados e os detalhes do segmento do trimestre mais recente, consulte os materiais de divulgação de resultados mais recentes da Alphabet, incluindo receita, lucro por ação (EPS), mix de serviços, receita operacional em nuvem e comentários sobre capital.

  • Receita: USD 102,35 bilhões
  • EPS: US$2,87
  • Receita operacional: USD 31,23 bilhões
  • Receita de serviços: USD 87,05 bilhões
  • Receita de nuvem: USD 15,16 bilhões

Receitas de serviços do Google e receita operacional no terceiro trimestre de 2025 | Divulgação de resultados da Alphabet

O que se espera neste trimestre

O consenso da Bloomberg estima um crescimento moderado da receita ano a ano (YoY) e maior EPS em relação ao trimestre do ano anterior, com foco contínuo nas margens operacionais, considerando o investimento relacionado à IA.

Pontos de referência consensuais da Bloomberg:

  • EPS: faixa baixa a média de USD 2
  • Receita: faixa de alta de USD 80 bilhões a baixa de USD 90 bilhões
  • Capex: espera-se que permaneça elevado

*Todos os pontos acima observados em 31 de janeiro de 2026.

Expectativas implícitas no mercado

As opções listadas implicaram um movimento indicativo esperado de cerca de ± 4% a ± 6% ao longo da janela de expiração de data próxima relevante. Movimentos derivados dos preços das opções observados às 11:00 AEDT, 2 de fevereiro de 2026.

Essas são estimativas implícitas no mercado e podem mudar. Os movimentos reais de preços pós-lucro podem ser maiores ou menores.

O que isso significa para os participantes do mercado australiano

Os lucros da Alphabet podem influenciar o sentimento de curto prazo nos principais índices de ações dos EUA, particularmente nos produtos vinculados à Nasdaq, com potencial repercussão na sessão asiática após o lançamento.

Nota de risco importante

Imediatamente após o fechamento dos EUA e no início da sessão asiática, os futuros do Nasdaq 100 (NDX) e os preços de CFD relacionados podem refletir menor liquidez, spreads mais amplos e repreços mais nítidos em torno de novas informações.

Esse ambiente pode aumentar o risco de lacunas e a incerteza de execução em relação às condições do horário normal.

Mike Smith
February 2, 2026