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Here is the situation as April begins. A war is affecting one of the world's most important oil chokepoints. Brent crude is trading above US$100. And the Federal Reserve (Fed), which spent much of 2025 engineering a soft landing, is now facing an inflation threat driven less by wages, services or the domestic economy, and more by energy. It is watching an oil shock.

The Fed funds rate sits at 3.50% to 3.75%. The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is on 28 and 29 April and the key question for markets is not whether the Fed will cut, it is whether the Fed can cut, or whether the energy shock may have shut that door for much of 2026.

A heavy run of major data releases lands in April. The March consumer price index (CPI), non-farm payrolls (NFP) and the advance estimate of Q1 gross domestic product (GDP) are the three that matter most. But the FOMC statement on 29 April may be the release that sets the tone for the rest of the year.

Growth: Business activity and demand

Think about what the US economy looked like coming into this year: AI-driven capital expenditure (capex) was a major part of the growth narrative, corporate investment intentions looked firm and the One, Big, Beautiful Bill Act was already in the mix. On paper, the growth story looked solid.

Then the Strait of Hormuz situation changed the calculus. Not because the US is a net energy importer, it is not, and that structural insulation matters. But what is good for US energy producers can still squeeze margins elsewhere and weigh on global demand. The 30 April advance Q1 gross domestic product (GDP) estimate is now likely to be read through two lenses: how strong was the economy before the shock, and what it may signal about the quarters ahead.

Labour: Payrolls and employment

February's jobs report was, depending on how you read it, either a blip or a warning sign. Non-farm payrolls (NFP) fell by 92,000, unemployment edged up to 4.4% and the official line was that weather played a role. That may be true but here is what also happened. The labour market suddenly looked a little less convincing as the main argument for keeping rates elevated.

The 3 April employment report for March is now genuinely consequential. A bounce back to positive payroll growth would probably steady nerves and a second consecutive soft print, particularly against a backdrop of higher energy prices, would start to build a very uncomfortable narrative for the Fed. It would be looking at slower jobs growth and an inflation threat at the same time. That is not a comfortable place to be.

Inflation: CPI, PPI and PCE

Here is the uncomfortable truth about where inflation sits right now. Core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), the Fed's preferred gauge, was already running at 3.1% year on year in January, before any oil shock had fed through. The Fed had not fully solved its inflation problem, rather, it had slowed it down. That is a different thing.

And now, on top of a not-quite-solved inflation problem, oil prices have moved sharply higher. Energy prices can feed into the consumer price index (CPI) relatively quickly, through petrol, transport and logistics costs that can eventually show up in the price of nearly everything. The 10 April CPI print for March is probably the most important single data release of the month, it is the one that may tell us whether the energy shock is already showing up in the numbers the Fed watches.

Policy, trade and earnings

April is also the start of US earnings season, and this quarter's results carry an unusual amount of weight. Investors have been pouring capital into AI infrastructure on the basis that returns are coming. The question is when. With geopolitical volatility driving a rotation away from growth-oriented technology and towards energy and defence, JPMorgan Chase's 14 April earnings will be read as much for what management says about the macro environment as for the numbers themselves.

Then there is the FOMC meeting on 28 and 29 April. After the early-April run of data, including NFP, CPI and producer price index (PPI), the Fed will have more than enough information to update its language. Whether it signals that rate cuts could remain on hold through 2026, or whether it leaves the door slightly ajar, may be the most consequential communication of the quarter.

Geopolitical volatility has already pushed investors to reassess growth-heavy positioning. The estimated US$650 billion AI infrastructure buildout is also coming under heavier scrutiny on return on investment. If earnings season disappoints on that front, and if the FOMC signals a prolonged hold, the combination could test risk appetite heading into May.

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Asia dominates the global semiconductor supply. Five companies, spanning Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan, sit at the critical juncture of the AI buildout, controlling everything from fabrication to the equipment that makes chips possible. 

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Quick facts

• TSMC delivered $90 billion in revenue in 2024, with a 59% gross margin and shares up 55% in 2025.
• Advantest shares doubled (+102%) in 2025 as AI-driven chip testing demand surged.
• SK Hynix is Nvidia's primary HBM supplier, positioning it at the centre of the AI accelerator boom.

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1. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM)

TSMC is the world's largest contract chip manufacturer, producing advanced semiconductors for Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Qualcomm. As a pure-play foundry, it leads in 5-nanometer (5nm) and 3- nanometer (3nm) chip production, with smaller nodes in development.

The company posted $90 billion in revenue for 2024 with a 59% gross margin and 36% return on equity. 

Shares delivered a total return of 55% in 2025, with analysts forecasting a further ~30% revenue increase in 2026, underpinned by its $100 billion US expansion programme.

The key risk for the company is its geopolitical exposure, with Taiwan Strait tensions remaining the sector's most-watched tail risk.

What to watch

• US expansion progress: Any delays, cost blowouts, or political friction concerning TSMC's $100 billion Arizona investment could weigh on sentiment.
• Customer order visibility: Watch for any guidance updates from Apple, Nvidia, or AMD on chip orders, as TSMC's revenue is highly concentrated among a handful of clients.
• Geopolitical developments: Any escalation of Taiwan Strait tensions could trigger sharp moves regardless of fundamentals.
• Next-node ramp: Progress on 2nm production and yield rates will be a key signal for TSMC's ability to maintain its technology lead.

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2. Samsung Electronics (KR:005930)

Samsung is one of the few companies globally that both designs and fabricates chips at scale. It competes across DRAM, NAND flash, and logic chip segments, and remains a core supplier to global tech giants.

Samsung's wide scope is a strength, but also a complexity. Its memory division faces margin pressure from inventory cycles, while its foundry business continues to lag TSMC in leading-edge yields. 

The AI-driven memory boom may provide a tailwind, though execution in HBM production has been slower than local rival SK Hynix.

What to watch

• HBM qualification progress: Samsung has been working to qualify its HBM3E chips with Nvidia. Any confirmation of a major supply win could be a meaningful catalyst.
• Memory pricing trends: DRAM and NAND spot prices could be an indicator of Samsung's margin trajectory.
• Foundry yield improvements: Samsung's logic foundry business has struggled with yields at advanced nodes; any credible progress here could re-rate the division.
• Management guidance: Following a period of earnings volatility, clarity on capex plans and divisional targets at upcoming results will be closely watched.

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3. Advantest (ATEYY)

Tokyo-based Advantest makes testing equipment used to verify chips meet performance and quality standards. 

It supplies to Samsung, Intel, Nvidia, Qualcomm, and Texas Instruments, allowing it to benefit from chip industry growth broadly, regardless of which foundry wins market share.

Advantest shares doubled in 2025 (+102%), and it raised its sales forecast by 21.8% and earnings forecast by 70.6% for the year ending March 2026.

What to watch

• Order backlog updates: Any contraction in Advantest's backlog could be an early warning sign after the strong 2025 run.
• AI chip testing demand: As chips grow more complex, testing time per chip increases. Monitor whether AI accelerator volumes from TSMC and Samsung start to drive outsized testing demand.
• FY2026 guidance: The next forecast update will be critical in confirming whether 2025's upgrade cycle has further to run.

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4. Tokyo Electron (T:8035)

Tokyo Electron is among the world's largest suppliers of semiconductor production equipment, specialising in deposition, etching, and cleaning tools. 

Every major chipmaker, including TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix, depends on TEL's systems to scale production.

As chipmakers invest billions to expand capacity, TEL's order book grows. The risk lies in potential US export restrictions on advanced equipment sales to China, which remains one of the primary revenue segments for the company.

What to watch

• US export control policy: China accounts for a significant portion of TEL's revenue. Any tightening of equipment export rules is the most immediate risk to watch.
• Chipmaker capex announcements: TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix's capital expenditure plans for 2026 directly translate into equipment orders. Any cuts could flow through to TEL's order book.
• New tool adoption cycles: Monitor whether TEL's next-generation deposition and etch tools are being adopted at leading-edge fabs.

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5. SK Hynix (KR:000660)

SK Hynix is the world's second-largest memory chip maker and has emerged as arguably the clearest AI-era beneficiary in the memory space. 

It is Nvidia's primary supplier of High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) chips, the specialised memory used in AI accelerators like the H100 and B200.

HBM demand has driven a dramatic re-rating of SK Hynix's revenue profile and market standing. With AI infrastructure spending showing little sign of slowing heading into 2026, the company's HBM franchise could remain a key differentiator. 

However, capacity constraints and the risk of Samsung and Micron closing the HBM gap are the primary concerns to watch.

What to watch

• Nvidia supply relationship: Any shift in Nvidia's supplier mix toward Samsung or Micron could be a key risk event.
• HBM4 development: The race to next-generation HBM is already underway. Watch for updates on SK Hynix's HBM4 readiness and whether it can maintain its lead.
• Conventional memory pricing: SK Hynix still derives meaningful revenue from standard DRAM and NAND. Spot price trends could be a gauge of the broader memory cycle.

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Bottom line

TSMC, SK Hynix, Samsung, Advantest, and Tokyo Electron collectively control the chokepoints of the AI buildout. 

The expected increase in AI infrastructure may support demand, but investors should weigh the risks carefully. 

Geopolitical exposure, US export restrictions, and the pace of HBM competition could all move the needle.

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So, here’s the thing...

If you have been following the tech story for the last decade, you have been trained to look at a very specific, very small patch of real estate in Northern California. But as we sit here in early 2026, the "connect-the-dots" moment for investors is this: the AI trade has stopped being about shiny software demos in Palo Alto and has started being about the physical industrialisation of compute.

Want to know more? Read our 2026 AI playbook

What changed, and why it matters

We have entered the "Year of Proof". The world’s largest companies, the hyperscalers, are projected to spend a staggering US$650 billion on capital expenditures this year. But here’s the part most people miss: that money is not staying in Silicon Valley. It’s flowing to the "picks and shovels" players in Idaho, Washington, Colorado and even overseas.

If you want to understand where the actual return on investment (ROI) may be landing this earnings season, you have to look outside the 650 area code. The shift from AI hype to AI industrialisation is changing the map.

Five companies · AI infrastructure play · 2026

The full AI stack: from capex to consulting

Infrastructure builders compared to the implementation bridge across the AI value chain

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Note: Hyperscalers shown as 2026 CapEx spend. Accenture shown as cumulative advanced AI bookings ($11.5B through Q1 FY2026), reflecting its role as the adoption layer rather than the infrastructure layer.

Infrastructure (2026 CapEx projected) Implementation bridge (cumulative AI bookings)

Hyperscaler CapEx: Early 2026 analyst estimates, midpoint of ranges. Amazon approx. 100% YoY, Alphabet approx. 100%, Meta approx. 87%, Microsoft approx. 50%.
Accenture: Cumulative advanced AI bookings $11.5B through Q1 FY2026. Q1 AI bookings $2.2B (up 76% YoY), AI revenue $1.1B (up 120% YoY) across 1,300+ clients.

Five companies shaping the next phase of AI

Micron Technology (MU), Boise, Idaho

Micron is the "memory backbone" of the current cycle. While everyone was watching the chip designers, many overlooked the fact that AI chips are far less useful without high-bandwidth memory (HBM). Micron is currently viewed by some analysts as a strong buy because its capacity is reportedly sold out through the end of 2026. Analysts are also eyeing a 457% jump in earnings per share (EPS) as the memory cycle reaches what some describe as a robust peak.

Microsoft (MSFT), Redmond, Washington

Microsoft is the enterprise backbone of this transition. It has moved beyond simple chatbots and is now building what analysts call "Intelligence Factories". While the stock has faced pressure recently over capacity constraints, underlying demand for Azure AI is reportedly still running ahead of capacity. The broader bull case is that Microsoft is moving into "Agentic AI", systems that do not just talk to users but may also execute multi-step business workflows.

Which Asian companies are betting big on artificial intelligence?

Amazon (AMZN), Seattle, Washington

Amazon is playing a long-term game of vertical integration. To reduce its reliance on expensive third-party hardware, it’s building its own AI chips in-house. Amazon Web Services (AWS) remains the primary driver of profitability, and the company is using its retail data to train specialised models that many Silicon Valley start-ups may struggle to replicate.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Denver, Colorado

If Micron provides the memory and Microsoft the platform, Palantir provides the "operating system" for the modern AI factory. The company has posted strong momentum, with US commercial sales recently growing 93% year over year. It’s often framed as a bridge between raw data and corporate profitability, which remains a key focus for investors in 2026.

Accenture (ACN), Dublin, Ireland

You cannot just "plug in" AI. Businesses often need to redesign processes around it, and that’s where Accenture comes in.

The company is viewed as an implementation bridge, with one analyst arguing that "GenAI needs Accenture" to move from pilot programs to production though the cautionary angle is that the AI story has not fully excited investors here yet because consulting revenue can take longer to show up than chip sales.

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What could happen next?

The chart maps the three time horizons likely to shape the next phase of the AI industrialisation trade.

In the near term, markets are still reacting to chipmaker earnings, guidance, and any signs of capacity strain. Over the next month, attention shifts to the real-world inputs behind AI growth, especially power, financing, and infrastructure. By the 60-day window, the key question is whether AI spending is broadening into a wider market re-rating or running ahead of near-term returns.

Across all three periods, the focus is the same: proof. Investors are looking for signs that AI capital expenditure is translating into real demand for energy, land, and industrial capacity. That is why updates from companies tied to power and data centre buildout matter more than ever.

Scenario planning · March 2026

What could happen next

Three time horizons, three scenarios to watch across the AI industrialisation cycle

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Next 2 weeks

Chipmaker reports

Possible

Market volatility continues as traders digest the latest reports from chipmakers like Micron

Upside scenario

"Bulletproof" guidance from remaining infrastructure names triggers a sector-wide relief rally

Watch for

Any mention of "capacity constraints" or "supply bottlenecks" in earnings calls

Next 30 days

Energy and rates

Possible

Focus shifts to "real economy" energy players like NextEra that power the data centres

Downside scenario

Rising oil prices from Middle East conflict act as a tax on tech margins, rotating into defensives

Action point

Monitor Fed language on rates. Higher for longer makes $650B capex bills far more expensive to finance

Next 60 days

The great dispersion

Possible

Market rewards companies with real AI revenue and punishes those still stuck in experimentation

Upside scenario

NextEra Energy (NEE) data centre announcements in late April/May trigger a utility renaissance rally

Downside scenario

An "air pocket" in profits occurs where debt-funded investment outpaces revenue gains

Watch

May reports from Texas Pacific Land (TPL) — is data centre land demand still "red hot"?

Action point

Review your portfolio for geographic diversity. The AI story is now a global power race

The psychological trap‍

The emotional trap many traders fall into right now is recency bias. You have seen NVIDIA and the "Magnificent 7" win for so long that it feels like they are the only way to play this. But the "obvious" trade is often the one that has already been priced in. Before acting, ask yourself: "Am I buying this stock because I understand its role in the physical AI supply chain, or because I’m afraid of missing the next leg of a rally that started two years ago?"

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^{Disclaimer: This content is general information only and should not be relied on as personal financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial product. References to companies or themes, including AI-related stocks, are illustrative only. Share and derivative markets can move sharply, and concentrated sectors such as AI and technology may experience elevated volatility, valuation risk, and liquidity risk. If you trade derivatives such as CFDs, leverage can magnify both gains and losses. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.}

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While all eyes are on the US AI narrative dominated by Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google, Asia has quietly been moving on AI and is home to some of the world’s most aggressive AI bets.

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Quick facts

• SoftBank has committed $41 billion to OpenAI, securing approximately an 11% ownership stake.
• Alibaba plans to invest more than $50 billion in AI infrastructure over the coming years.
• Baidu's Core AI-powered business revenue grew 48% year over year in Q4, with ~70% of search results now AI-generated.

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1. SoftBank Group (TYO: 9984)

SoftBank is the most AI-committed company in Asia by capital deployed and ambition. CEO Masayoshi Son has declared the company in "total offence mode," having completed a $41 billion investment into OpenAI for approximately an 11% ownership stake. 

Son has also launched a $100 billion initiative aimed at building a vertically integrated AI semiconductor champion (Project Izanagi), repositioning SoftBank as an "AI-era industrial holding company." 

SoftBank's fortunes are now deeply tied to the success of OpenAI and Son's ability to execute his semiconductor plan that puts it in direct competition with established players.

What to monitor

• OpenAI's trajectory: Any shift in OpenAI's competitive position, valuation, or path to profitability has direct implications for SoftBank's balance sheet.
• Project Izanagi progress: Watch for partner announcements, funding milestones, and whether Son can attract the engineering and manufacturing talent needed.
• Arm Holdings performance: SoftBank also has a listed stake in Arm. Arm's data centre and AI chip licensing momentum is worth tracking.
• Debt levels and Vision Fund exposure: SoftBank carries significant leverage. Rising interest rates or a correction in AI valuations could pressure the group's net asset value.

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2. Alibaba Group (BABA)

Alibaba has committed more than US$50 billion to AI infrastructure, making it one of the largest AI capex programmes in the world. 

Its Qwen family of large language models underpins a rebuilt AI-focused cloud platform, and the company has partnered with Nvidia on physical AI projects. 

Alibaba Cloud is also the leading cloud provider in China. The key commercial question is whether Alibaba's can convert this cloud leadership into durable revenue growth.

However, it will have to navigate ongoing regulatory scrutiny in China and competition from local rivals like Huawei and ByteDance.

What to monitor

• Cloud AI revenue growth: The clearest signal of whether the $50 billion investment is translating into commercial traction.
• Qwen model adoption: Enterprise and developer uptake of the Qwen model family could be an indicator of Alibaba's AI platform stickiness.
• Regulatory environment: Beijing's approach to large tech platforms and any renewed regulatory action could disrupt execution and sentiment.
• US-China tech tensions: Nvidia partnership activity and access to advanced AI chips could be affected by further export controls.

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3. Baidu (BIDU)

Baidu has made the most visible AI transformation of any company on this list. It has released a 2.4 trillion parameter omni-modal model (ERNIE 5.0) with approximately 70% of its search results now delivered as AI-generated rich media. 

Beyond search, its Apollo Go robotaxi service is now partnering with Uber to expand into Dubai and the UK.

Its Core AI-powered business generated RMB 11.3 billion in Q4 revenue, up 48% YoY. The question now is whether that momentum is sustainable and whether the robotaxi business can scale economically.

What to monitor

• ERNIE monetisation: Watch for updates on enterprise API revenue and advertising yield improvements driven by AI-generated search.
• Apollo Go expansion: Rider volume growth and cost per ride will indicate whether unit economics are improving.
• Search market share: Competition from ByteDance and emerging AI-native search alternatives in China is a potential structural risk.

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4. Tencent Holdings (HK: 0700)

Tencent's AI play is to allocate its GPU capacity to itself. This allows it to convert AI directly into efficiency gains across its ecosystem. 

With WeChat's 1.4 billion users providing an unmatched data engine, Tencent is embedding AI across gaming, payments, cloud, and search in a way that is difficult to replicate. 

This approach also offers greater resilience against AI chip export restrictions, since the compute stays internal.

The AI upside here is arguably underappreciated because it is embedded rather than a separate segment, which could also mean the market may find it harder to isolate and value that contribution.

What to monitor

• Advertising revenue trends: The most measurable near-term AI benefit is from ad targeting improvements translating into sustained advertising revenue growth.
• WeChat ecosystem AI integration: Watch for new AI-native features within WeChat, including search, mini-programs, and payments, as signals of platform deepening.
• Regulatory and geopolitical risk: Tencent operates under ongoing scrutiny from Chinese regulators and faces restrictions in some Western markets.

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5. Kakao (KRX: 035720)

Kakao is South Korea's dominant AI and internet platform, operating KakaoTalk, which is used by approximately 95% of South Koreans.

It is one of the most aggressively AI-focused non-Chinese tech companies in Asia, investing heavily in LLM development and AI-native services. 

The domestic dominance of KakaoTalk provides a captive distribution platform for AI products in a way few companies outside China can match. The key question is whether Kakao can monetise that distribution advantage before global competitors close the gap.

What to monitor

• KakaoAI product rollouts: New AI-native features within KakaoTalk and Kakao's broader service suite are the most direct signal of commercial AI progress.
• Cloud division growth: Kakao's cloud business is the infrastructure layer for its AI ambitions. Revenue growth and enterprise customer additions are key metrics.
• LLM competitive positioning: Monitor how Kakao's models benchmark against global and regional peers, and whether Korean enterprise customers are adopting them at scale.
• Corporate governance: Kakao has faced governance-related scrutiny in recent years; any developments here could affect sentiment independently of AI progress.

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Bottom line

Asia's AI landscape is far more complicated than a simple "follow the AI spend" narrative suggests. 

China's top companies are innovating rapidly but operate under regulatory and geopolitical constraints. Japan's SoftBank is making the biggest single bet, but at a level of concentration risk that demands scrutiny. And South Korea's Kakao offers a differentiated, lower-geopolitical-risk angle.

The AI push in Asia is real. But the range of outcomes across these five names is wide, making it pivotal to understand each company's specific exposure and risk profile, not just its AI narrative.

From AI infrastructure to pet care, semiconductors, and gold exploration, here are the five top candidates most likely to list on the ASX in 2026.

What is an Initial public offering (IPO)?

1. Firmus Technologies

Firmus Technologies is building AI-powered data centre infrastructure in Tasmania, and it may be one of the most strategically positioned tech companies in Australia right now.

Firmus is an Nvidia Cloud Partner and has joined the GPU maker's Lepton marketplace. The company has designed its modular, liquid-everywhere AI Factory platform to evolve with Nvidia's latest architectures, including Nvidia Spectrum-X Ethernet networking.

A September 2025 raise of A$330m closed at a post-money valuation of A$1.85 billion for the company. By November 2025, after a further A$500m raise, that valuation had trebled to approximately A$6 billion. 

A subsequent A$100m investment from Maas Group in early 2026 confirmed the November valuation. Firmus is reported to be contemplating an ASX IPO within the next 12 months and, given the A$6 billion private valuation, any public raise is expected to be well above A$1 billion.

With Australia's growing demand for sovereign AI compute capacity and Tasmania's cool climate and renewable energy advantage for large-scale data centre operations, Firmus stands as one of the largest-scale ASX IPO candidates in 2026.

However, although market interest in Firmus appears to be growing, timing is everything when it comes to IPOs. Watch for confirmation of exact IPO timing, AI data centres sentiment, and whether Nvidia signals deepening its involvement as a strategic anchor investor post-listing.

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2. Rokt

Sydney-founded Rokt has quietly become one of Australia's most valuable private tech companies. The e-commerce adtech platform aimed at helping brands monetise the “transaction moment” is now valued at ~US$7.9 billion.

A term sheet prepared by MA Financial projected an exit share price of US$72 under base-case scenarios, when shares are freed from escrow in November 2027. 

Rokt is expected to potentially dual-list in the US and on the ASX in 2026, possibly as soon as the first half of the year. IG The most widely discussed structure is a primary Nasdaq listing with an ASX CDI (CHESS Depositary Interest) structure for Australian investors, rather than a full dual listing.

Rokt’s revenue for the year ending August 2025 is projected at US$743m (up 48% year-over-year), with EBITDA forecast at US$100m and a gross profit margin of approximately 43%. It is currently projected to cross the $US1 billion annual revenue milestone by August 2026.

Amazon, Live Nation, and Uber are all reported to be Rokt customers, and the company has expanded rapidly across North America and Europe.

Whether Rokt opts for a primary Nasdaq listing with an ASX CDI structure, or a full dual listing, could significantly affect liquidity and local investor access.

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3. Greencross

Greencross, the business behind Petbarn, City Farmers, and Greencross Vets, is preparing to relist on the ASX after being taken private by US private equity firm TPG in 2019. 

TPG currently owns 55% of Greencross, while AustralianSuper and the Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan (HOOPP) hold the remaining 45%. 

The company reported revenue of A$2 billion for the 2025 financial year, a modest increase from A$1.95 billion in 2024. TPG paid A$675 million in equity value for the business in 2019; it sold a 45% stake in 2022 at a valuation of more than A$3.5 billion. The proposed IPO implies a valuation of more than A$4 billion.

TPG is targeting an initial public offering of at least A$700 million. The IPO will mark Greencross's return to the ASX after an eight-year absence. TPG's relatively small raise size suggests the firm is banking on strong aftermarket performance before fully exiting.

TPG's exit timeline announcement is still a watch for whether a 2026 IPO is on the cards. And whether the company pursues a traditional IPO or a trade sale, which remains an alternative path.

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4. Morse Micro

Morse Micro is a Sydney-based semiconductor company developing Wi-Fi HaLow chips designed for IoT applications across agriculture, logistics, smart cities, and industrial monitoring.

Morse Micro held a Series C round in September 2025, raising US$88 million, followed in November 2025 by a US$32 million pre-IPO raise, taking total funding to over A$300 million. 

It is targeting an ASX listing in the next 12–18 months. The Series C was led by Japanese chip giant MegaChips and the National Reconstruction Fund Corporation.

Global IoT device connections forecast to exceed 30 billion by 2030, and Morse Micro would be a rare ASX-listed pure-play semiconductor company, which could attract significant interest from tech-focused fund managers.

Morse Micro’s Revenue traction with tier-one hardware partners ahead of listing is a watch, and whether the company seeks a concurrent US listing given the depth of US semiconductor investor appetite.

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5. Bison Resources

Bison Resources is a newly incorporated US-focused gold and precious metals explorer currently in the middle of its ASX IPO. 

The offer closes on 20 March 2026, with an ASX listing targeted for mid-April 2026. At an indicative market capitalisation of A$13.25 million on full subscription, Bison is the most speculative name on this list by a significant margin.

The company holds four exploration projects in north-east Nevada, within the Carlin Trend (one of the world's most prolific gold-producing belts), responsible for approximately 75% of US gold output. 

The IPO seeks to raise A$4.5 to A$5.5 million (22.5 to 27.5 million shares at A$0.20 per share). The team has prior experience at Sun Silver (ASX: SS1) and Black Bear Minerals, giving it a track record in ASX junior mining listings out of Nevada.

Global IPOs: What are the biggest IPOs happening globally in 2026?

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Bottom line

Australia's 2026 IPO calendar spans the full risk spectrum. A Nvidia-backed AI infrastructure play, a billion-dollar e-commerce platform, and a junior gold explorer with its IPO already underway. 

Each candidate reflects a different stage of maturity and a different investor profile. Together, they suggest the ASX could see a meaningful injection of new listings across sectors that have been largely absent from the local market in recent years.

Từ những nhà đột phá công nghệ đến các nhà thầu quốc phòng, một số công ty được nhắc đến nhiều nhất trên thị trường bắt đầu hành trình công khai thông qua đợt chào bán công khai ban đầu (IPO). Đối với các nhà giao dịch, những niêm yết công khai ban đầu này có thể đại diện cho một môi trường giao dịch độc đáo, nhưng cũng là một giai đoạn không chắc chắn cao.

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Thông tin nhanh

• IPO là khi một công ty tư nhân niêm yết cổ phiếu của mình trên sàn giao dịch chứng khoán đại chúng lần đầu tiên.
• IPO có thể cung cấp cho các nhà giao dịch quyền truy cập sớm vào các công ty tăng trưởng cao, nhưng đi kèm với sự biến động cao và lịch sử giá hạn chế.
• Sau khi niêm yết, các nhà giao dịch có thể tiếp xúc với cổ phiếu IPO thông qua việc mua cổ phiếu trực tiếp hoặc các công cụ phái sinh như Hợp đồng chênh lệch (CFD).

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IPO (IPO) là gì?

IPO là khi một công ty chào bán cổ phiếu của mình cho công chúng lần đầu tiên.

Trước khi thực hiện IPO, cổ phiếu trong công ty thường chỉ được nắm giữ bởi những người sáng lập, nhân viên ban đầu và các nhà đầu tư tư nhân. Việc niêm yết cổ phiếu có thể được mua bởi bất kỳ ai.

Tùy thuộc vào quy mô của công ty, nó thường sẽ niêm yết cổ phiếu công khai của mình trên sàn giao dịch chứng khoán địa phương (ví dụ: ASX ở Úc). Tuy nhiên, một số công ty định giá lớn chọn chỉ niêm yết trên sàn giao dịch chứng khoán toàn cầu, như Nasdaq, bất kể trụ sở chính của họ nằm ở đâu.

Đối với các nhà giao dịch, IPO thường là cơ hội đầu tiên để tiếp xúc với cổ phiếu của công ty. Chúng có thể tạo ra một môi trường độc đáo với sự biến động và thanh khoản tăng lên, nhưng cũng mang rủi ro cao, do lịch sử giá hạn chế và sự nhạy cảm với sự thay đổi tâm lý.

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Tại sao các công ty ra công chúng?

Động lực lớn nhất để thực hiện IPO là tiếp cận nhiều vốn hơn. Niêm yết trên sàn giao dịch công khai có nghĩa là công ty có thể huy động vốn đáng kể bằng cách bán cổ phiếu.

Nó cũng cung cấp thanh khoản cho các cổ đông hiện tại. Các nhà sáng lập, nhân viên ban đầu và các nhà đầu tư tư nhân thường bán một phần cổ phần hiện có của họ trên thị trường mở, nhận ra lợi nhuận từ nhiều năm hỗ trợ của họ.

Ngoài lợi ích tiền tệ, việc công khai có nghĩa là các công ty có thể sử dụng cổ phiếu của họ làm tiền tệ để mua lại và cung cấp khoản bồi thường dựa trên vốn cổ phần để thu hút nhân tài. Và định giá công khai cung cấp một chuẩn mực minh bạch, hữu ích cho việc định vị chiến lược và gây quỹ trong tương lai.

Tuy nhiên, nó đi kèm với sự đánh đổi. Các công ty đại chúng phải tuân thủ các nghĩa vụ công bố và báo cáo liên tục, và áp lực từ các cổ đông đại chúng có thể trở thành rào cản đối với tiến bộ lâu dài nếu nhiều công ty tập trung vào hoạt động ngắn hạn.

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Quá trình IPO hoạt động như thế nào?

Mặc dù các chi tiết cụ thể khác nhau tùy theo thẩm quyền, việc chuyển từ một công ty tư nhân sang một công ty niêm yết công khai thường bao gồm các giai đoạn sau:

1. Chuẩn bị

Trước tiên, công ty chọn nhà bảo lãnh (thường là ngân hàng đầu tư) để quản lý việc chào bán. Cùng nhau, họ đánh giá tài chính, cấu trúc doanh nghiệp và định vị thị trường của công ty để xác định cách tiếp cận tốt nhất để đưa ra công chúng. Đây là giai đoạn lập kế hoạch nặng nề để đảm bảo công ty thực sự sẵn sàng ra mắt công chúng.

2. Đăng ký

Sau khi mọi thứ đã được chuẩn bị, các nhà bảo lãnh sẽ tiến hành kiểm tra thẩm định kỹ lưỡng và sau đó nộp các tài liệu tiết lộ cần thiết cho cơ quan quản lý có liên quan. Các tài liệu này cung cấp một tiết lộ chi tiết cho cơ quan quản lý về công ty, quản lý và đề xuất chào bán của công ty. Ở Úc, đây thường là bản cáo bạch nộp cho ASIC; ở Mỹ, một tuyên bố đăng ký được nộp cho SEC.

3. biểu diễn lưu động

Các giám đốc điều hành tại công ty và các nhà bảo lãnh sau đó sẽ trình bày trường hợp đầu tư cho các nhà đầu tư tổ chức và các nhà phân tích thị trường trong một “roadshow”. Buổi trưng bày này được thiết kế để đo lường nhu cầu đối với cổ phiếu và giúp tạo ra sự quan tâm. Các nhà đầu tư tổ chức có thể đăng ký lợi ích và định giá IPO, giúp thông báo giá ban đầu.

4. Giá cả

Dựa trên phản hồi từ roadshow và điều kiện thị trường hiện tại, các nhà bảo lãnh xác định giá cổ phiếu cuối cùng và xác định số lượng cổ phiếu sẽ được phát hành. Cổ phiếu được phân bổ trên “thị trường sơ cấp” cho các nhà đầu tư tham gia chào bán (trước khi cổ phiếu được niêm yết công khai trên thị trường thứ cấp). Quá trình này thiết lập giá trước thị trường, xác định hiệu quả định giá công khai ban đầu của công ty.

5. Niêm yết

Vào ngày niêm yết, cổ phiếu của công ty bắt đầu giao dịch trên sàn giao dịch chứng khoán đã chọn, chính thức mở thị trường thứ cấp. Đối với hầu hết các nhà giao dịch, đây là điểm đầu tiên mà tại đó họ có thể giao dịch cổ phiếu, trực tiếp hoặc thông qua các công cụ phái sinh như CFD cổ phiếu.

6. Sau IPO

Sau khi niêm yết, công ty phải tuân theo các yêu cầu báo cáo và tiết lộ nghiêm ngặt. Nó phải liên lạc thường xuyên với các cổ đông, công bố kết quả tài chính của mình và tuân thủ các tiêu chuẩn quản trị của sàn giao dịch mà nó được niêm yết.

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Rủi ro IPO và lợi ích cho các nhà giao dịch

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Các nhà giao dịch tham gia IPO như thế nào?

Đối với hầu hết các nhà giao dịch, việc tham gia IPO diễn ra sau khi cổ phiếu đã niêm yết và bắt đầu giao dịch trên thị trường thứ cấp.

Khi cổ phiếu được phát trực tiếp trên sàn giao dịch, các nhà đầu tư có thể mua cổ phiếu thực trực tiếp thông qua nhà môi giới hoặc sàn giao dịch trực tuyến hoặc họ có thể sử dụng các công cụ phái sinh như CFD cổ phiếu để có một vị thế về giá mà không sở hữu tài sản cơ bản.

Vài ngày đầu tiên của giao dịch IPO có xu hướng biến động cao. Các nhà giao dịch nên đảm bảo rằng họ đã thực hiện các biện pháp quản lý rủi ro thích hợp để giúp bảo vệ chống lại sự dao động giá mạnh tiềm ẩn.

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Điểm mấu chốt

IPO đánh dấu khi một công ty trở nên có thể đầu tư cho công chúng. Họ có thể cung cấp khả năng tiếp cận sớm với các công ty tăng trưởng cao và tạo ra một môi trường giao dịch độc đáo được thúc đẩy bởi sự biến động cao và sự quan tâm của thị trường.

Đối với các nhà giao dịch, việc hiểu quy trình hoạt động như thế nào, điều gì thúc đẩy giá cả và hiệu suất sau IPO, và cách cân nhắc phần thưởng tiềm năng so với rủi ro khi giao dịch cổ phiếu mới niêm yết là điều cần thiết trước khi thực hiện một vị thế.