アジア太平洋市場は4月を迎え、ホルムズ海峡における長期的な混乱がインフレ、貿易フロー、そして政策見通しにどのような影響を及ぼすかに注目が集まっています。中国の第15次五カ年計画は、人工知能（AI）と技術的自立へと舵を切り、サプライチェーンや地域の成長に波及効果をもたらしています。日本とオーストラリアは、輸入エネルギー価格の上昇によるインフレを管理しつつ、国内需要を損なうことなくどこまで政策を正常化できるかという課題に直面しています。
トレーダーにとって、エネルギー価格の高止まりと政策の方向性の違いは、地域の株価指数や通貨のボラティリティを高い水準で維持させる可能性があります。
中国
北京の立法機関は、人工知能（AI）と技術的自立を国家戦略の中心に据えた第15次五カ年計画（2026年〜2030年）を承認しました。政府は2026年の成長目標を過去数十年で最も低い4.5%〜5.0%に設定し、成長のスピードよりも質を優先する姿勢を鮮明にしています。
日本
日本銀行は、エネルギー価格に起因するインフレの再燃リスクを受け、政策正常化への圧力を強めています。2月の生鮮食品を除く消費者物価指数は1.6%まで鈍化しましたが、近年の原油価格の急騰により、今後数ヶ月で消費者物価指数（CPI）が再び2%の目標値に向けて上昇する可能性があります。
オーストラリア
オーストラリア経済は二極化が続いており、高齢者世帯が支出を増やす一方で、若年層は深刻な生活費の圧迫に直面しています。3月にオーストラリア準備銀行（RBA）が政策金利を4.10%に引き上げたことを受け、市場は追加利上げの必要性を判断するため、今後のインフレデータに注目しています。
Reportingdates and release times are based on company investor relations calendars whereconfirmed. Where dates or times are not marked confirmed, they are GO Marketsestimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced fromBloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 09 July 2026 (AEST). Company guidance,backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings orresults presentations, unless stated otherwise. Any scenario analysis reflectsGO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.
The information provided is of general nature only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on any information provided, you should consider whether the information is suitable for you and your personal circumstances and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. All opinions, conclusions, forecasts or recommendations are reasonably held at the time of compilation but are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. Go Markets Pty Ltd, ABN 85 081 864 039, AFSL 254963 is a CFD issuer, and trading carries significant risks and is not suitable for everyone. You do not own or have any interest in the rights to the underlying assets. You should consider the appropriateness by reviewing our TMD, FSG, PDS and other CFD legal documents to ensure you understand the risks before you invest in CFDs. These documents are available here.
Any references to Australian or international shares, sectors, indices, ETFs, crypto-related stocks or other instruments are provided for market commentary and watchlist purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any financial product or adopt any investment strategy. International markets may involve additional risks, including currency fluctuations, regulatory differences, market structure differences, reduced liquidity and higher volatility. Company-specific, sector-specific and macroeconomic risks may also affect performance.
Commentary on geopolitical developments, economic data, central bank decisions, earnings, policy changes and other global or financial market events is based on information available at the time of publication and may change without notice. Such events can lead to sudden market moves, price gaps, reduced liquidity, wider spreads and increased volatility, particularly in leveraged products such as CFDs. Forward-looking statements, expectations and scenario analysis are inherently uncertain and should not be relied on as guarantees of future market behaviour or outcomes.
