AUDUSD Soars on RBA Hike, EURUSD underperforms, CAD, GBP, JPY wrap

USD was firmer on Tuesday amid a light news calendar sparse in any key risk events. The US Dollar index again having a choppy session in a tight range with EURUSD weakness giving the Dollar a tailwind, also helping the greenback was ramped up US growth forecasts from Goldman Sachs and the World Bank hitting the wires. EUR was the G10 underpe...

June 7, 2023
Read More >
Could the Reserve Bank of Australia hike rates further?

The Australian interest rate is currently at 3.85% and the most recent consumer price index (CPI) released at 6.8% which indicates slightly higher than expected inflation growth (expectation was 6.4% with previous data at 6.3%). This puts more focus on the upcoming interest rate decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). While further rate ...

June 6, 2023
Read More >
Market Analysis 5 – 9 June 2023

XAUUSD Analysis   5 – 9 June 2023 The overall outlook for gold prices is bearish in the short term. As there was a loss of buying momentum after testing the resistance area 2070, forming a Triple Top pattern on the Weekly timeframe, then there was a strong sell momentum, causing the price to fall below the price line. 1960s price line wh...

June 5, 2023
Read More >
Market Analysis 29 May – 02 June 2023

XAUUSD Analysis   29 May – 02 June 2023 Forecasting the price of gold in the short term, the price may move down to test the 1915 support area, which is the area where the price is expected to bounce back. and if the price can stand without falling further Price may have a sideways correction before rallying to test the 1960 resistance a...

May 30, 2023
Read More >
AUD analysis – waiting for a catalyst – range trading and mean reversion opportunities

The Aussie dollar has been fairly directionless since late February with it seemingly waiting for a catalyst to break it’s ranges and take the next leg up or down, data this week has failed to provide that. This opens up a couple of very good opportunities for traders, range trading the AUDUSD and mean reversion trades on the AUDNZD. Starting ...

May 18, 2023
Read More >
Market Analysis 15-19 May 2023

XAUUSD Analysis   8 – 12 May 2023 The gold price outlook is generally positive in the medium term. Although the close of last week's sell pressure bar indicates a significant loss of buying momentum, due to the sell-off during the week but the price is still moving above the 2000 support level after a rebound to test and then rebound. It...

May 18, 2023
Read More >
Market Analysis 8-12 May 2023

XAUUSD Analysis 8 – 12 May 2023 The gold price outlook is positive in the medium term. Although last week's closing of the buying pressure bar would indicate a loss of buying momentum due to the weekly selloff. But the price is still moving above the 2000 support, it is very likely that the price will continue to move above the 2000 level ...

May 9, 2023
Read More >
ECB hikes rates to 3.75%

Following the lead of the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced its decision to hike rates by 25 basis points, taking interest rates in the Eurozone to 3.75% overnight. In the lead-up to the ECB meeting, there was some market speculation for a potential 50bps hike, which saw the EUR/USD trade to a 12-month high, reaching the...

May 5, 2023
Read More >
FOMC hikes rates but signals pause

In the most recent meeting, the US Federal Reserve hiked rates by 25 basis points, as anticipated, to take interest rates in the US to 5.25%, slightly beyond the terminal rate of 5.1%. However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to the key support level of 100.80 which was last reached in April and February 2023, following the release of the rate hike ...

May 4, 2023
Read More >
Market Analysis 1-5 May 2023

XAUUSD Analysis   1 – 5 May 2023 The gold price outlook is positive in the medium term. Although last week's closing of the buying pressure bar would indicate a loss of buying momentum due to the weekly selloff. But the price is still moving in a narrow range above the 1960 support or the recent high on the Weekly timeframe. resistance 2...

May 3, 2023
Read More >
BoJ Governor Ueda’s first monetary policy meeting

The Bank of Japan is due to hold its first monetary policy meeting under new Governor Ueda on the 29th of April 2023. Since his appointment, Governor Ueda has frequently indicated that the BoJ will continue with its current easing stance on monetary policy with targets for long and short-term interest rates. Although headline and core inflation run...

April 28, 2023
Read More >
Inflation growth slows for the Australian Economy

The Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) y/y was released at 6.3%, lower than the market forecast of 6.5% and from the previous data of 6.8%. With inflation growth on a clear downtrend following its peak of 8.4% in January 2023, this is likely to reduce the need for further rate increases from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The Australian...

April 26, 2023
Read More >
Asian Session Update – AUD, NZD continue decline, Hot Japan CPI sees Yen strength

Major Asian stock indexes are following the lead from Wall St where US stocks finished broadly lower in a choppy, low volume session as economic news disappointed, Fed talking heads remained hawkish and a mixed batch of earnings. The ASX200 and Nikkei down around 0.24% while the Hang Seng down just over 0.5 a % FX Markets Have mostly c...

April 21, 2023
Read More >
Market Analysis 17-21 April 2023 – TH

XAUUSD Analysis   17 – 21 April 2023 The gold price outlook is positive in the medium term. As last week's closing of the buying bar was above the 1960 support or the latest high in price on the Weekly timeframe, it indicates the continued buying momentum that will allow the price of gold to continue. It can rise further to test the 2070...

April 18, 2023
Read More >
AUD and NZD under pressure on rising US and EU yield expectations

AUD and NZD, being cyclical currencies (cyclical currencies being ones that are extra sensitive to global risk sentiment) took a big hit in Fridays session , dropping 1.1% and 1.3% respectively against the USD and remain under pressure today. Weak retail sales out of the US on Friday didn’t help risk sentiment, but the rout really started when...

April 17, 2023
Read More >