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Oil, Metals, Soft Commodities
One for the Gold Bugs – Are we seeing a structural change from Au’s renaissance?
There's been plenty made this year about gold's incredible rise to new record levels. A point that gold bugs love to point out. As we sit here gold is trading at around US$2700oz having reached an all-time high that was just shy of US$2900oz. Thus the question has to be asked: where is the limit? And where too from here for the inert metal?...
November 22, 2024Read More >Uranium’s Turning Point?
Yellowcake - a commodity that is loved and loathed all in the same breath. The questions we have been asking are - which is right and what’s the outlook? Because as traders and investors that dilemma is key, there is a gap here and that leads to volatility and incorrect pricing in the short and long term some may want to jump on. Recent develo...
November 20, 2024Read More >Will commodity prices continue to slide?
The last two months, with accelerated selling over the last fortnight, have seen considerable drops in major commodity prices. Oil is at its lowest point since early September, copper likewise and gold futures have dropped almost 8% since the beginning of the month after making record highs. Consequently, on the ASX we have seen the materials...
November 18, 2024Read More >Drill, Drill, Drill Baby – Oil in the next world order
There has been plenty of conjecture about where oil is going to go in 2025 and we would suggest that the recent climb in Brent crude oil prices above $80 per barrel reflects an intensifying mix of geopolitical uncertainty. The main 3 uncertainties driving oil have been the impact of the U.S. presidential election, the escalation of the Middle ...
November 15, 2024Read More >No more ‘White Knight’? What China’s stimulus plans mean for iron ore
China’s recent shift in economic policy and its potential for fiscal stimulus reflect an evolving approach to support economic stability. Following previous monetary easing measures, including a reduction in the Reserve Ratio Requirement and interest rate cuts in late September, China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) Standing Committee has ...
November 13, 2024Read More >The Tricky trade of Oil
Never has the oil been trickier than it is right now. The influences on the price are complex, varied and time dependent. It’s even trickier when you look at it from the trade of commodities versus equities. Here are the key things that are catching our attention with oil trading in spot, forwards and equities. Spot vs. Antici...
June 12, 2024Read More >Moving forward – the volt revolution of transport
The transportation of the world is becoming one of the most interesting trading places in markets as we clearly have a structural long-term change coming as the world moves from the black stuff (oil) to electricity. But the trader question is – what’s happening in these markets now? The black stuff - Oil Oil prices have softened due ...
May 23, 2024Read More >Economic versus the Federal Reserve Policy Implications
Where’s the Federal Reserve at? Slowing Growth and Potential Rate Cuts: Recent economic data suggests a slowdown in growth, contrary to earlier expectations of reaccelerating growth and inflation. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's statements and recent economic indicators point towards the possibility of lower policy rates in the near f...
May 21, 2024Read More >Future metals: are we seeing the 2000s again?
Plenty has been made of the drive towards nickel and lithium as “future metals” as the world's “electrification” takes hold. This “electrification” has been nicknamed the “volt revolution” and when you get these kinds of technological leaps - what's appearing to be the “winner” now doesn't necessarily mean it will be the overall...
May 7, 2024Read More >Middle East conflict & US interest rates send Gold back towards all-time highs.
Since reaching a local bottom in October of last year, XAUUSD has experienced a strong uptrend of over 13%. Closing its third consecutive positive session, Gold is inching closer to its all-time high, now sitting just above $2,050 USD per ounce. From a technical standpoint, Gold is following a well-defined rising channel that has been predominan...
January 16, 2024Read More >XAUUSD Analysis – Further Downside in Gold possible as Risk Premium unwinds
Golds safe haven status was reaffirmed as markets opened on the 9th of October to the news of conflict in the Middle East, this saw XAUUSD go on an impressive run, rallying almost 10%, breaking the psychological 2000 USD an ounce level and hitting 6-month highs. This week we have seen some of that risk premium unwind as reduced haven flows and p...
November 9, 2023Read More >Is the Gold Run Over?
The recent surge in gold prices, following recent events in the Middle East and the declining US Dollar (DXY), raises the question: Is this the end of the bull run for Gold (XAU/USD)? Gold started rising earlier this month after rejecting the price level of 1815.00. Since then, it has steadily climbed back to its previous peak of 1984.00, a resi...
October 24, 2023Read More >Charts to watch in the week ahead – AUDUSD, Gold, Oil
Global markets head into the new week with one eye on ongoing geopolitical pressures and one eye on US data and comments from Federal Reserve members as we come into the last week before the blackout period ahead of the November 2 FOMC meeting. Along with the geopolitical backdrop there is some key scheduled data this week the traders will be watch...
October 16, 2023Read More >Crude Oil analysis – WTI drops 3% to fills the gap on inventory build and dwindling supply disruption fears
WTI Crude oil got off to a flyer on Monday open as news broke of conflict in the Middle East saw a hefty risk premium being priced in fueled by fears of supply disruptions. It seems some of those fears have abated and along with a massive crude inventory build of almost 13mm barrels reported by API on Wednesday, a classic gap fill chart pattern has...
October 12, 2023Read More >WTI Crude Oil hits 10-month high, but there are some technical challenges ahead.
The WTI Crude Oil market is in an interesting spot on the charts, hitting a 10-month high in Wednesday's session. This strong performance comes after repeatedly testing and holding the $66-67 support level, resulting in an impressive climb of over 30% since the beginning of July. Having broken through a significant resistance level around $8...
September 14, 2023Read More >
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