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One for the Gold Bugs – Are we seeing a structural change from Au’s renaissance?

There's been plenty made this year about gold's incredible rise to new record levels. A point that gold bugs love to point out. As we sit here gold is trading at around US$2700oz having reached an all-time high that was just shy of US$2900oz.  Thus the question has to be asked: where is the limit? And where too from here for the inert metal?...

November 22, 2024
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Uranium’s Turning Point?

Yellowcake - a commodity that is loved and loathed all in the same breath. The questions we have been asking are - which is right and what’s the outlook? Because as traders and investors that dilemma is key, there is a gap here and that leads to volatility and incorrect pricing in the short and long term some may want to jump on. Recent develo...

November 20, 2024
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Will commodity prices continue to slide?

The last two months, with accelerated selling over the last fortnight, have seen considerable drops in major commodity prices. Oil is at its lowest point since early September, copper likewise and gold futures have dropped almost 8% since the beginning of the month after making record highs. Consequently, on the ASX we have seen the materials...

November 18, 2024
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Drill, Drill, Drill Baby – Oil in the next world order

There has been plenty of conjecture about where oil is going to go in 2025 and we would suggest that the recent climb in Brent crude oil prices above $80 per barrel reflects an intensifying mix of geopolitical uncertainty.  The main 3 uncertainties driving oil have been the impact of the U.S. presidential election, the escalation of the Middle ...

November 15, 2024
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No more ‘White Knight’? What China’s stimulus plans mean for iron ore

China’s recent shift in economic policy and its potential for fiscal stimulus reflect an evolving approach to support economic stability. Following previous monetary easing measures, including a reduction in the Reserve Ratio Requirement and interest rate cuts in late September, China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) Standing Committee has ...

November 13, 2024
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Ripple Effects: How the 2024 U.S. Election Results Could Reshape American and Australia’s Financial Markets

Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election has already stirred financial markets, with various sectors and asset classes responding to anticipated policy shifts based on campaign promises.  Whilst such promises often go unfulfilled, markets are beginning to price in these potential changes until clarity on policy directions e...

November 8, 2024
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Scaling in Trading: Techniques to Optimise Returns and Control Risk

Introduction to Scaling in Trading Scaling in trading involves adjusting the size of trading positions based on specific criteria or rules. This concept is crucial for both discretionary and automated traders, with the latter group often finding it easier to implement due to the structured, rule-based nature of automated systems. For discretiona...

November 6, 2024
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US Election live event: The market reacts

Join us for a special Inner Circle event as we examine the real-time market responses to the 2024 US Presidential Election results. We will explore market volatility and opportunities as reactions unfold across various asset classes. We will be hosting four live sessions throughout the day, led by our Head of Client Education and Senior Analyst,...

November 4, 2024
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9 Critical Psychological Challenges When Creating and Trading EAs

It's well-known that many discretionary traders struggle with discipline, emotional control, and other psychological hurdles that can impact their decision-making process, particularly when it comes to entering and exiting trades. One of the widely recognized benefits of automated trading models, however, is the belief that these psychological barr...

October 24, 2024
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Early Voting Kicks Off, as a Trump Presidency comes into view

Early voting has officially begun in several critical battleground states, including Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina signalling the start of an intense final stretch in the race for the presidency. Wisconsin and Pennsylvania have also now entered the early voting period and what is interesting in 2024 over 2020 is that Trump has backed...

October 23, 2024
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All too easy – vigilance is the key

If you look at equity markets in particular, you'd think everything smelled of roses. For the 47th time this calendar year US indices have made record all-time highs and 46 times at record closing highs. Earning season is underway and so far, it is doing what it always does, which is beating the Street 75 percent of the time. Banking, Tech and i...

October 17, 2024
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The US Presidential Election 2024 – Handbook

The basics: We are in the final weeks of the 2024 US presidential election.  But what exactly are US citizens voting for and when will it actually take place? A US election always takes place on the first Tuesday of November – that means that for this year Tuesday, 5 November 2024, is when the election will be held, with the swearing of...

October 11, 2024
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Disappointment with a capital D – watch out for overconfidence

There is a clear and present danger in trade at the moment – overconfidence. Overconfidence that policy and private capital will align and deliver trader a bullish windfall. However, from where we sit, this overconfidence should be defined as likely-disappointment. Let us explain. China 2024 is not China of 1994. After a week away for Go...

October 9, 2024
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Beware the Geopolitical trade: An evergreen trade risk to be remembered

The horrible events that we're currently seeing in the Middle East can sometimes create an unwanted attraction for traders. Chasing short, sharp swings in things like oil and other commodities of this ilk, might appear attractive for the here and now upside opportunity but be aware geopolitical trading always ends in bad outcomes. This is why we...

October 2, 2024
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When’s it our turn? A sustainable pivot

As we sit here and watch our overseas central bank counterparts move on interest rates. Our central bank gave us a new term, to explain why rate cuts are a long way off in their thinking. This term “sustainably” – that is  “sustainably back to target”, “sustainable path”, and a hundred other zingers that basically point out that the ...

September 30, 2024
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